Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:16:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5B
0x5b0b…3aaa
crypto · 306 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$4,167 -34%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,167 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$123
Realized−$4,167
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses219 / 283
Open positions0
Markets (closed)502 / 306
History coverage3d
Avg bet$40
Trades / day1103.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 502 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4,062
7 days−$4,167
14 days−$4,167
30 days−$4,167
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - December 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Down 87¢ 100¢ $107 $123 +$16 (+15%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $79 $0 −$79 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - December 27, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - December 29, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - December 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - December 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - December 26, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - December 22, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - December 24, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - December 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - December 27, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - December 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - December 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $107 +$31 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $79 −$79 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Solana Up or Down - December 27, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $45 −$45 -100%
XRP Up or Down - December 29, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - December 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
XRP Up or Down - December 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $55 −$55 -100%
Solana Up or Down - December 26, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - December 22, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - December 24, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Solana Up or Down - December 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - December 27, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - December 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Solana Up or Down - December 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Solana Up or Down - December 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - December 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - December 25, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $73 −$73 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Solana Up or Down - December 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - December 27, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$76
weather 1% +$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $8 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $16 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $14 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $12 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $11 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $7 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $6 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $6 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $9 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $11 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $17 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 32m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-47.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 502 -41.8% -47.3% 44% 39% -32.2%
≤30d 502 -41.8% -47.3% 44% 39% -32.2%
≤90d 502 -41.8% -47.3% 44% 39% -32.2%
all 502 -41.8% -47.3% 44% 39% -32.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1103.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -47.3% 39% -32.2%
10% ← realistic here -52.3% 22% -38.7%
15% -57.0% 9% -44.6%
20% -61.2% 2% -50.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $122.73 · official $122.73 (match) · 3500 history records