Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:48:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5B
0x5b14…d8db
crypto · 1695 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
+$774 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$774 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized+$774
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses884 / 555
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1439 / 1695
History coverage20d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day138.1
Drawdown45%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1439 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$490
7 days−$320
14 days+$9
30 days+$774
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 61¢ 66¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+9%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,407
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $4 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $4 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +61%
net ROI/market (all)+3.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 355 -16.3% -24.3% 58% 58% -24.8%
≤30d 1439 +14.5% +3.6% 61% 61% +0.8%
≤90d 1439 +14.5% +3.6% 61% 61% +0.8%
all 1439 +14.5% +3.6% 61% 61% +0.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover138.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +3.6% 61% +0.8%
10% ← realistic here -6.3% 59% -8.9%
15% -15.3% 51% -17.7%
20% -23.6% 33% -25.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.45 · official $4.71 (match) · 3500 history records