Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:39:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5B
0x5b1d…1d9e
crypto · 1058 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$275 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$275 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$275
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses537 / 521
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1058 / 1058
History coverage20d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day173.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1058 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$11
7 days+$11
14 days−$226
30 days−$275
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$2 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$4 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$2 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 05 $10 −$4 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 05 $21 −$3 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 05 $21 −$13 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 05 $31 −$3 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 05 $21 −$10 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 05 $10 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 05 $21 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 05 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 05 $31 −$7 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 05 $21 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 05 $10 +$12 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 05 $34 −$3 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 05 $10 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 05 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 05 $21 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 05 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 05 $21 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 05 $10 −$3 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 05 $21 −$12 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 05 $21 −$11 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 05 $31 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 05 $10 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 05 $27 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 05 $21 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 05 $10 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 05 $41 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 05 $42 −$7 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 05 $10 +$10 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 05 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 05 $21 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 05 $10 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 05 $21 +$5 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 05 $3 $0 +15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$275
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $9 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Up 52¢ $4 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Up 52¢ $7 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $7 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $9 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $11 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 45¢ $9 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 57¢ $11 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 53¢ $11 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $4 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 41¢ $7 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 41¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Down 59¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 +8.1% -2.2% 59% 35% -5.3%
≤30d 1058 -1.4% -10.8% 51% 30% -11.3%
≤90d 1058 -1.4% -10.8% 51% 30% -11.3%
all 1058 -1.4% -10.8% 51% 30% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover173.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.8% 30% -11.3%
10% ← realistic here -19.3% 17% -19.8%
15% -27.1% 9% -27.6%
20% -34.2% 4% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records