Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:35:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5B
0x5b2d…fdc8
sports · 148 markets active 2h ago
4.0score
+$161 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$149 · open +$41
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,118
Realized+$149
Unrealized+$41
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses136 / 7
Whale WR (big bets)94%
Est. fees paid−$21
Open positions5
Markets (closed)143 / 148
History coverage91d
Avg bet$193
Trades / day5.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 5 History 143 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$11
7 days−$67
14 days+$75
30 days−$187
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistan India 91¢ 100¢ $710 $784 +$74 (+10%)
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistan - Completed match? Yes 99¢ 100¢ $156 $158 +$2 (+1%)
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: New Zealand vs Sri Lanka - Completed match? Yes 97¢ 74¢ $110 $83 −$26 (-24%)
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Ireland - Completed match? Yes 97¢ 95¢ $60 $58 −$1 (-2%)
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs Scotland - Completed match? Yes 95¢ 81¢ $42 $35 −$6 (-15%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia - Complete Jun 14 $540 +$2 +0%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands - Completed match? Jun 14 $123 +$2 +2%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 14 $45 $0 +1%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand - Completed match Jun 13 $171 +$2 +1%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa - Completed match? Jun 13 $204 +$3 +1%
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan - Completed matc Jun 13 $390 −$6 -2%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland - Completed match? Jun 13 $318 +$4 +1%
Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June Jun 13 $56 +$3 +6%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka - Completed match? Jun 12 $21 $0 +2%
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Brazil vs Malawi - Completed match? Jun 12 $157 +$5 +3%
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Brazil vs Malawi Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Nigeria - Completed match? Jun 12 $391 +$2 +1%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Hong Kong, China vs United Arab Emirates - Jun 12 $118 +$2 +2%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Indonesia vs Thailand Jun 12 $100 $0 +0%
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Nigeria vs Brazil - Completed match? Jun 11 $99 +$1 +1%
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Zimbabwe High Performance Xi vs Brazil Jun 10 $113 +$3 +2%
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Zimbabwe High Performance Xi Jun 10 $198 +$3 +2%
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Nigeria vs Malawi - Completed match? Jun 10 $156 +$2 +1%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: United Arab Emirates vs Malaysia - Complet Jun 10 $182 +$3 +1%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Indonesia vs Oman - Completed match? Jun 10 $186 +$3 +1%
T20 Blast: Essex vs Kent - Completed match? Jun 10 $291 $0 +0%
T20 Blast: Northamptonshire vs Worcestershire - Completed match? Jun 09 $99 +$1 +1%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 07 $1,176 −$134 -11%
T20 Blast: Somerset vs Warwickshire - Completed match? Jun 07 $56 +$4 +6%
T20 Blast: Middlesex vs Essex - Completed match? Jun 07 $812 +$14 +2%
T20 Blast: Nottinghamshire vs Derbyshire - Completed match? Jun 07 $24 +$1 +4%
T20 Blast: Leicestershire vs Yorkshire - Completed match? Jun 07 $77 +$4 +5%
T20 Blast: Lancashire vs Glamorgan - Completed match? Jun 07 $43 +$3 +6%
T20 Blast: Gloucestershire vs Worcestershire - Completed match? Jun 07 $60 +$3 +5%
T20 Blast: Sussex vs Kent - Completed match? Jun 07 $74 +$2 +3%
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Hong Kong, China vs Malaysia - Completed m Jun 07 $48 +$3 +7%
Will "Scary Movie" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatomete Jun 07 $18 +$2 +9%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Bahrain vs Japan - Completed match? Jun 07 $91 +$4 +4%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Oman vs Philippines - Completed match? Jun 07 $50 +$3 +7%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: China vs United Arab Emirates - Completed Jun 07 $164 +$2 +1%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Myanmar vs Thailand - Completed match? Jun 07 $258 +$3 +1%
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Nepal vs Oman - Completed match? Jun 07 $99 +$1 +1%
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Canada vs USA - Completed match? Jun 07 $97 +$1 +1%
T20 Blast: Durham vs Northamptonshire - Completed match? Jun 06 $264 +$6 +2%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Kuwait vs Singapore Jun 06 $167 +$2 +1%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Kuwait vs Singapore - Completed match? Jun 06 $132 +$4 +3%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Bahrain vs Mongolia - Completed match? Jun 06 $184 +$4 +2%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Nepal vs Hong Kong, China - Completed matc Jun 06 $63 +$4 +6%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Oman vs Saudi Arabia - Completed match? Jun 06 $38 $0 +1%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Bhutan vs Qatar - Completed match? Jun 06 $98 +$3 +3%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Japan vs Myanmar - Completed match? Jun 06 $95 +$3 +3%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Malaysia vs Indonesia - Completed match? Jun 06 $171 +$2 +1%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: China vs Philippines - Completed match? Jun 06 $91 +$3 +3%
T20 Blast: Sussex vs Leicestershire - Completed match? Jun 05 $18 $0 +1%
T20 Blast: Yorkshire vs Lancashire - Completed match? Jun 05 $155 +$2 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 75% +$353
politics 10% +$177
other 6% +$62
weather 4% +$6
culture 3% −$417
tech 1% $0
world 0% +$8
crypto 0% +$1
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistan BUY India 90¢ $5 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistan BUY India 90¢ $47 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistan BUY India 90¢ $481 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistan BUY India 89¢ $9 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistan BUY India 93¢ $125 2h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistan BUY India 91¢ $45 3h
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 100¢ $45 3h
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Australia 99¢ $45 4h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: New Zealand vs Sri Lanka - Completed match? BUY Yes 97¢ $11 4h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: New Zealand vs Sri Lanka - Completed match? BUY Yes 97¢ $11 6h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Ireland - Completed match? BUY Yes 97¢ $11 6h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: New Zealand vs Sri Lanka - Completed match? BUY Yes 97¢ $11 6h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: New Zealand vs Sri Lanka - Completed match? BUY Yes 97¢ $11 6h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: New Zealand vs Sri Lanka - Completed match? BUY Yes 97¢ $11 6h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs Scotland - Completed match? BUY Yes 97¢ $13 6h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Ireland - Completed match? BUY Yes 97¢ $11 6h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: New Zealand vs Sri Lanka - Completed match? BUY Yes 96¢ $11 6h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: New Zealand vs Sri Lanka - Completed match? BUY Yes 97¢ $11 6h
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia - Complete BUY Yes 100¢ $116 6h
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia - Complete BUY Yes 100¢ $100 6h
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia - Complete BUY Yes 100¢ $100 6h
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia - Complete BUY Yes 100¢ $29 6h
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia - Complete BUY Yes 100¢ $151 6h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: New Zealand vs Sri Lanka - Completed match? BUY Yes 97¢ $11 6h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Ireland - Completed match? BUY Yes 96¢ $11 6h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Ireland - Completed match? BUY Yes 97¢ $27 6h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: New Zealand vs Sri Lanka - Completed match? BUY Yes 96¢ $23 6h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs Scotland - Completed match? BUY Yes 95¢ $19 7h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs Scotland - Completed match? BUY Yes 94¢ $9 7h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan - Completed matc BUY Yes 99¢ $10 28h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-8.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 +1.7% -8.0% 93% 0% -10.5%
≤30d 113 +1.2% -8.4% 97% 0% -10.3%
≤90d 143 +1.7% -8.0% 95% 3% -9.0%
all 143 +1.7% -8.0% 95% 3% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.0% 3% -9.0%
10% -16.8% 1% -17.7%
15% -24.8% 0% -25.7%
20% -32.2% 0% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,118.47 · official $1,118.47 (match) · 595 history records