Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:36:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5B
0x5b2f…290d
crypto · 1131 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$11 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$107 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$107
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses560 / 571
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1131 / 1131
History coverage25d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day72.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1131 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$9
14 days−$53
30 days−$107
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +131%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +135%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -66%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$107
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Down 25¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Down 44¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Down 16¢ $0 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Up 31¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 72¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Up 72¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 17¢ $0 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 19¢ $0 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET SELL Down 11¢ $0 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Up 26¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 73¢ $2 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Up 11¢ $0 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-12.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 225 -3.5% -12.6% 56% 55% -12.6%
≤30d 1131 -3.2% -12.5% 50% 48% -13.0%
≤90d 1131 -3.2% -12.5% 50% 48% -13.0%
all 1131 -3.2% -12.5% 50% 48% -13.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover72.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.5% 48% -13.0%
10% ← realistic here -20.8% 46% -21.3%
15% -28.5% 44% -28.9%
20% -35.5% 39% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2532 history records