Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:07:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5B
0x5b3d…0fb2
crypto · 1552 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$28 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$65 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$65
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses865 / 687
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1552 / 1552
History coverage203d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day9.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 1552 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$11
7 days+$25
14 days−$17
30 days−$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +55%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +73%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +33%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +26%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +60%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +29%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +28%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +34%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +48%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +86%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +20%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +166%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +70%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +73%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +93%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +114%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +20%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +60%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +60%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +29%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +13%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +44%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +110%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +114%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +101%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +114%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +83%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +70%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$61
world 1% −$5
other 1% +$5
weather 1% −$1
sports 0% −$2
politics 0% −$2
economics 0% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $2 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $2 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $2 9h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 9h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 9h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 10h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 11h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 16h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 16h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 17h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 19h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 21h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 23h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 23h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 24h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 24h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 24h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 25h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 26h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 26h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 26h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 27h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 27h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 29h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 29h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-12.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 323 +6.4% -3.7% 62% 61% -3.2%
≤30d 1214 -0.3% -9.8% 59% 57% -10.0%
≤90d 1508 -2.8% -12.1% 56% 54% -12.6%
all 1552 -2.9% -12.2% 56% 54% -12.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.2% 54% -12.6%
10% -20.6% 50% -20.9%
15% -28.3% 43% -28.6%
20% -35.3% 33% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2902 history records