trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -33.0% | -39.4% | 43% | 43% | -10.6% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -36.3% | -42.4% | 45% | 45% | -11.7% |
| ≤90d | 42 | -24.7% | -31.9% | 48% | 33% | -19.3% |
| all | 160 | -10.5% | -19.0% | 44% | 41% | -32.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -19.0% | 41% | -32.9% |
| 10% | -26.8% | 39% | -39.3% |
| 15% | -33.8% | 37% | -45.2% |
| 20% | -40.3% | 32% | -50.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lionel Messi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $100 | +$18 | +18% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $51 | −$51 | -99% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $51 | −$50 | -99% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $101 | +$111 | +109% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $25 | −$25 | -99% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $101 | +$42 | +42% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $26 | −$25 | -98% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 06 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | May 25 | $42 | +$7 | +16% |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | May 25 | $330 | +$52 | +16% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10? | May 13 | $25 | +$21 | +83% |
| Knicks vs. 76ers | May 10 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | May 06 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. Hawks | May 06 | $28 | +$10 | +35% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | May 06 | $51 | +$77 | +152% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 30 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25? | Apr 26 | $25 | +$10 | +42% |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | Apr 26 | $50 | +$93 | +185% |
| Cavaliers vs. Raptors | Apr 26 | $25 | −$25 | -98% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Apr 26 | $25 | −$25 | -98% |
| Spread: Thunder (-9.5) | Apr 25 | $25 | −$25 | -98% |
| Pistons vs. Magic | Apr 25 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | Apr 25 | $123 | +$172 | +140% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Apr 25 | $46 | +$76 | +165% |
| NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 24 | $472 | −$424 | -90% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 21 | $201 | −$198 | -98% |
| Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year? | Apr 21 | $186 | +$15 | +8% |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | Apr 21 | $334 | −$333 | -100% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | Apr 20 | $318 | +$16 | +5% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 19 | $485 | +$19 | +4% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 18 | $629 | +$12 | +2% |
| Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter Milan | Apr 18 | $222 | −$222 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Suns | Apr 18 | $936 | +$38 | +4% |
| Panthers vs. Saints | Apr 18 | $150 | −$150 | -100% |
| Commanders vs. Vikings | Apr 18 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Ravens vs. Chiefs | Apr 18 | $200 | −$200 | -100% |
| Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? | Apr 14 | $399 | −$176 | -44% |
| Hornets vs. Knicks | Apr 13 | $500 | +$167 | +34% |
| Jazz vs. Lakers | Apr 13 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Thunder vs. Nuggets | Apr 11 | $873 | +$83 | +10% |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Apr 10 | $627 | +$248 | +40% |
| Magic vs. Lakers | Feb 25 | $1,150 | −$1,150 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. Lakers | Feb 23 | $75 | −$69 | -92% |
| Cavaliers vs. Nuggets | Feb 20 | $25 | +$49 | +195% |
| Arizona Wildcats vs. Kansas Jayhawks | Feb 10 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | Feb 10 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | Feb 10 | $100 | +$67 | +67% |
| Will Drake Maye win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | Feb 09 | $15 | −$8 | -52% |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | Feb 09 | $996 | +$331 | +33% |