Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:19:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5B
0x5b4c…c0e3
sports · 104 markets active 0h ago
3.0score
+$84 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$106 · open −$23
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$255
Realized+$106
Unrealized−$23
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses56 / 21
Est. fees paid−$10
Open positions27
Markets (closed)77 / 104
History coverage5d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day32.0
Drawdown89%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 27 History 77 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$81
7 days+$106
14 days+$106
30 days+$106
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 69¢ 88¢ $19 $25 +$5 (+28%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 54¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Spirit 75¢ 74¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Over 69¢ 68¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 97¢ 88¢ $20 $18 −$2 (-10%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Under 54¢ 54¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? No 77¢ 76¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Over 59¢ 56¢ $15 $15 −$1 (-4%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Team Vitality 53¢ 52¢ $13 $12 −$0 (-3%)
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jiri Lehecka 54¢ 54¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Chicago White Sox 61¢ 48¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-21%)
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 Over 55¢ 57¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+5%)
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5 Under 59¢ 62¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+4%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Under 74¢ 74¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets New York Mets 52¢ 54¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians 53¢ 54¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Los Angeles Dodgers 58¢ 58¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays 51¢ 50¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Haiti 65¢ 64¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 84¢ 84¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? No 87¢ 84¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 80¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 70¢ 68¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 98¢ 97¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Seattle Mariners 58¢ 56¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $10 +$7 +67%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $5 +$1 +27%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $15 +$7 +45%
Czechia leading at halftime? Jun 12 $10 +$3 +29%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $10 +$2 +17%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $10 +$4 +40%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $16 +$13 +82%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $16 +$10 +67%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $10 +$10 +92%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $15 +$6 +42%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $10 +$9 +87%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $10 +$7 +69%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime? Jun 11 $5 +$4 +69%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $21 +$8 +40%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $5 +$5 +89%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $6 −$6 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $5 +$2 +39%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $12 +$8 +61%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $5 +$3 +56%
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) Jun 11 $5 +$2 +45%
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31? Jun 11 $5 −$1 -25%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $5 +$4 +82%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $5 +$4 +82%
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $11 +$2 +22%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $5 +$4 +78%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -99%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $21 +$12 +59%
Alexis Vega: 2+ shots Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $10 +$10 +92%
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 11 $5 +$2 +39%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 12.5 Jun 11 $5 +$2 +32%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 10? Jun 11 $30 $0 +0%
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5) Jun 11 $5 +$2 +30%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5) Jun 11 $5 +$2 +45%
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +39%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 10 $5 −$5 -98%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $5 +$1 +14%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $5 +$2 +35%
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5) Jun 10 $5 +$1 +24%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $5 +$2 +35%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 10.5 Jun 10 $5 −$5 -99%
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Jun 10 $10 +$4 +42%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $12 +$3 +21%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 10? Jun 10 $20 $0 +0%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $26 −$25 -99%
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5) Jun 10 $5 −$5 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 80% +$84
other 11% +$2
weather 7% $0
world 2% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 77¢ $5 14m
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY Toronto Blue Jays 51¢ $5 32m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Jiri Lehecka 54¢ $5 48m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Jiri Lehecka 54¢ $5 48m
Edin Džeko: 1+ goals BUY No 83¢ $5 1h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 58¢ $5 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 70¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 75¢ $21 1h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Seattle Mariners 58¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 63¢ $4 3h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 59¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 59¢ $5 3h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Under 74¢ $5 3h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Cleveland Guardians 53¢ $5 3h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 69¢ $5 3h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 55¢ $5 3h
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 78¢ $5 4h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 60¢ $5 6h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 69¢ $5 6h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 54¢ $5 6h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY New York Mets 52¢ $5 6h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 69¢ $5 6h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $5 6h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Vitality 53¢ $13 6h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 54¢ $5 7h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 54¢ $5 7h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 52¢ $5 7h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Haiti 65¢ $5 7h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $5 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +70%
net ROI/market (all)-1.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 77 +8.9% -1.5% 73% 70% +0.7%
≤30d 77 +8.9% -1.5% 73% 70% +0.7%
≤90d 77 +8.9% -1.5% 73% 70% +0.7%
all 77 +8.9% -1.5% 73% 70% +0.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover32.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -1.5% 70% +0.7%
10% ← realistic here -10.9% 61% -8.9%
15% -19.5% 45% -17.7%
20% -27.4% 26% -25.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $254.57 · official $254.57 (match) · 226 history records