trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 16 | -8.3% | -17.0% | 38% | 38% | -5.6% |
| ≤30d | 17 | -3.0% | -12.3% | 41% | 41% | +0.6% |
| ≤90d | 17 | -3.0% | -12.3% | 41% | 41% | +0.6% |
| all | 17 | -3.0% | -12.3% | 41% | 41% | +0.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.3% | 41% | +0.6% |
| 10% | -20.7% | 35% | -9.0% |
| 15% | -28.3% | 35% | -17.8% |
| 20% | -35.4% | 29% | -25.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $30 | $28 | −$2 (-6%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina vs. Algeria: Neither team to score first? | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Argentina vs. Algeria: Draw at halftime? | Jun 17 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $5 | +$2 | +48% |
| France vs. Senegal: Draw at halftime? | Jun 16 | $3 | +$5 | +152% |
| France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score in Second Half | Jun 16 | $3 | +$9 | +307% |
| France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score in First Half | Jun 16 | $3 | +$1 | +21% |
| Iraq vs. Norway: Draw at halftime? | Jun 16 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Belgium vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime? | Jun 15 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score | Jun 14 | $3 | +$4 | +124% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $5 | +$11 | +216% |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: Neither team to score first? | Jun 14 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Japan? | Jun 14 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Jun 08 | $5 | +$4 | +81% |