Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T02:28:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
5B 0x5b59…50bc crypto 768 markets active 1h ago coverage 35d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 34d only
✗ bot/MM pace (81 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$1,410 (-13%) realized −$1,410 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR35%break-even
Win rate49%373W / 395L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$14per market
Trades / day80.7pace
Fees−$2est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$379
7 days−$407
14 days−$590
30 days−$921
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 95% −$805
other 5% −$114
sports 1% +$6
politics 0% $0
world 0% $0
weather 0% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (81 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-16.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 171 -0.4% -9.9% 50% 38% -21.8%
≤30d 586 -10.6% -19.1% 47% 33% -18.6%
≤90d 768 -8.0% -16.8% 49% 35% -17.2%
all 768 -8.0% -16.8% 49% 35% -17.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover80.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.8% 35% -17.2%
10% ← realistic here -24.7% 25% -25.1%
15% -32.0% 18% -32.3%
20% -38.7% 16% -39.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
26% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -6% → late -10% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$7 · ×0.7 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.67 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

35d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,410
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses373 / 395
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)768 / 768
History coverage35d ⚠
Avg bet$14
Trades / day80.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 768 Trades
no open positions (3 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 24 $100 −$95 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 24 $104 −$32 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 24 $107 −$107 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 24 $32 −$20 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 24 $45 +$35 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 24 $108 −$19 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 24 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 24 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 24 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 24 $21 −$4 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 24 $210 −$58 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 24 $105 −$6 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 24 $125 +$100 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 24 $12 $0 +3%
Will England win on 2026-06-23? Jun 24 $166 −$166 -100%
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal O/U 2.5 Jun 23 $5 +$4 +86%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? Jun 23 $80 +$15 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 23 $13 +$3 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 23 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 23 $2 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 23 $4 −$3 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 23 $17 −$4 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 23 $3 +$3 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 23 $2 +$3 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 23 $27 +$31 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 23 $30 −$30 -100%
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? Jun 23 $66 +$19 +28%
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw? Jun 23 $5 −$4 -86%
Jordan vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score Jun 23 $3 $0 +0%
Norway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score Jun 23 $10 +$7 +70%
Will France win on 2026-06-22? Jun 23 $108 +$10 +10%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? Jun 22 $87 +$8 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 22 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 22 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 22 $9 −$8 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 22 $4 +$1 +30%
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Alejandro Moro Can Jun 22 $5 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 22 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 22 $36 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 22 $10 +$5 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 22 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 22 $3 −$2 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 22 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 22 $4 −$2 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 22 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 22 $15 +$2 +11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $100 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $67 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $106 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Up 29¢ $89 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $105 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Up 31¢ $99 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $105 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Down 63¢ $68 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $202 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $105 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records