Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:17:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5B
0x5b63…11a4
crypto · 680 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$208,630 +123%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$263,618 · open −$48,035
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$464,823
Realized+$263,618
Unrealized−$48,035
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses279 / 131
Whale WR (big bets)40%
Est. fees paid−$515
Open positions424
Markets (closed)410 / 680
Avg bet$249
Trades / day3142.0
Drawdown1%
Kalshi-fit81%
Chart Positions 424 History 410 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$263,618
7 days+$263,618
14 days+$263,618
30 days+$263,618
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $25,038 $24,799 −$239 (-1%)
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? No 91¢ 97¢ $19,898 $21,144 +$1,246 (+6%)
Will Republican House incumbents not win in fewer than three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? No 97¢ 100¢ $14,939 $15,294 +$355 (+2%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $15,989 $15,269 −$720 (-5%)
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? No 86¢ 94¢ $13,848 $15,163 +$1,315 (+9%)
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No 73¢ 87¢ $12,259 $14,603 +$2,343 (+19%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 9¢ $9,529 $9,617 +$88 (+1%)
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No 53¢ 50¢ $9,943 $9,503 −$439 (-4%)
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Yes 68¢ 68¢ $8,609 $8,590 −$19 (-0%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 11¢ $7,549 $8,411 +$862 (+11%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $7,970 $8,232 +$263 (+3%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 41¢ 19¢ $17,887 $8,197 −$9,690 (-54%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 73¢ 70¢ $6,567 $6,285 −$282 (-4%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 49¢ 48¢ $6,382 $6,203 −$179 (-3%)
Fed rate hike in 2026? No 58¢ 52¢ $6,729 $5,994 −$735 (-11%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 60¢ $5,653 $5,663 +$10 (+0%)
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? No 97¢ 100¢ $5,097 $5,222 +$125 (+2%)
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 90¢ 90¢ $5,121 $5,175 +$54 (+1%)
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 80¢ 72¢ $5,661 $5,117 −$544 (-10%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 64¢ 62¢ $4,856 $4,654 −$202 (-4%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $4,821 $4,640 −$181 (-4%)
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? Yes 69¢ 69¢ $4,583 $4,630 +$47 (+1%)
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 91¢ 94¢ $4,429 $4,546 +$117 (+3%)
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No 52¢ 28¢ $8,205 $4,411 −$3,794 (-46%)
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? Yes 96¢ 94¢ $4,510 $4,393 −$116 (-3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Hamburg European Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Karen Khachanov Jun 12 $1,894 −$278 -15%
Hamburg European Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Joao Fonseca Jun 12 $936 −$18 -2%
Heilbronn: Luka Mikrut vs Emilio Nava Jun 12 $723 −$157 -22%
LoL: FN Esports vs Verdant (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage Jun 12 $430 −$97 -22%
LoL: Team Vitality vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Jun 12 $198 +$40 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $189 +$41 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $167 +$53 +32%
Counter-Strike: Omega vs TDK (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Eu Jun 12 $203 −$42 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $104 +$46 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $54 +$137 +256%
Abidjan 2: Robert Strombachs vs Florent Bax Jun 12 $95 +$25 +27%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on April 20? Jun 12 $104 +$16 +15%
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Jun 12 $93 +$10 +11%
Will David Bailey be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft? Jun 12 $57 +$42 +74%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on April 20? Jun 12 $95 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $91 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $47 +$36 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $72 +$5 +7%
Solana Up or Down - April 20, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$51 +668%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $53 +$3 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $33 +$22 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $45 +$7 +15%
Solana Up or Down - April 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$34 +203%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $32 +$14 +43%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $42 +$3 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $33 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$3 +19%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$26 +105%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$6 +57%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $64 −$51 -80%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $29 +$36 +121%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $28 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$20 -49%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$4 -47%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $33 −$14 -44%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $98 +$57 +58%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +15%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $33 −$16 -50%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +9%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$5 -18%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $102 +$81 +80%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $63 +$47 +73%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 83% +$222,028
crypto 9% +$1,582
sports 8% −$4,714
finance 0% +$173
world 0% −$769
tech 0% −$36
politics 0% −$38
economics 0% −$2,638
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $13 0m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 60¢ $19 0m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $8 0m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $5 0m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $95 0m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $1,491 0m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $9 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 1m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $9 1m
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 49¢ $5 1m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $95 2m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $5 2m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $1,414 2m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 25¢ $11 2m
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $29 2m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $6 2m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $6 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $28 2m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 80¢ $285 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $6 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Down 66¢ $8 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $6 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $6 4m
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 82¢ $95 4m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 84¢ $95 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $8 5m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 79¢ $349 6m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 79¢ $95 7m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)+20.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 410 +32.9% +20.2% 68% 44% +154.7%
≤30d 410 +32.9% +20.2% 68% 44% +154.7%
≤90d 410 +32.9% +20.2% 68% 44% +154.7%
all 410 +32.9% +20.2% 68% 44% +154.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3142.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +20.2% 44% +154.7%
10% ← realistic here +8.7% 35% +130.3%
15% -1.8% 29% +108.1%
20% -11.4% 23% +87.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $464,823.14 · official $475,165.32 · 3500 history records