Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:24:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5B
0x5b69…a6af
crypto · 398 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$3 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$1
Realized+$3
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses396 / 7
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)403 / 398
History coverage3d
Avg bet$419
Trades / day1195.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 1 History 403 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$371
7 days+$3
14 days+$3
30 days+$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes $1 $0 −$1 (-59%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 2PM ET Down 98¢ $157 $0 −$157 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 99¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 99¢ $119 $0 −$119 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10AM ET Down 99¢ $436 $0 −$436 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 98¢ $79 $0 −$79 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 99¢ $79 $0 −$79 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Up 98¢ $234 $0 −$234 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $119 −$119 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $79 −$79 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $79 −$79 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $234 −$234 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $40 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $40 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $769 +$1 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $2,773 +$9 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $1,514 +$2 +0%
BNB Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $120 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $889 +$1 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $161 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $288 +$3 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $39 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $559 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $40 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $118 +$2 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $94 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $3,396 +$32 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $290 +$1 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $40 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $1,955 +$2 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $79 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $40 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $40 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $79 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $79 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET Jun 12 $119 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET Jun 12 $774 +$1 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET Jun 12 $240 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET Jun 12 $1,685 +$10 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET Jun 12 $270 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $40 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $40 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $40 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $79 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $40 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $117 +$3 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $40 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $40 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $1,188 +$12 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $198 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $40 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% +$545
other 2% +$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 9m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 23m
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 100¢ $44 24m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 24m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $16 25m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $34 25m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 25m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $40 26m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 26m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $40 26m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $39 26m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $15 27m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $20 27m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $40 27m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $37 27m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 27m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $38 27m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 27m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 27m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 27m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 27m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 27m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 27m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 27m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 27m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 27m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 27m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-6.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 403 +3.6% -6.3% 98% 0% -9.5%
≤30d 403 +3.6% -6.3% 98% 0% -9.5%
≤90d 403 +3.6% -6.3% 98% 0% -9.5%
all 403 +3.6% -6.3% 98% 0% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1195.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.3% 0% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -15.3% 0% -18.2%
15% -23.4% 0% -26.1%
20% -31.0% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.10 · official $0.41 (match) · 3500 history records