trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: United States (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $10 | +$33 | +325% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $25 | +$27 | +105% |
| Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? | Jun 12 | $3 | −$3 | -97% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $15 | +$25 | +165% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $11 | +$5 | +44% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 | Jun 11 | $10 | +$7 | +73% |
| Julián Quiñones: 1+ goals | Jun 11 | $51 | +$88 | +172% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score | Jun 11 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Spread: Spurs (-15.5) | Jun 11 | $4 | +$1 | +30% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $2 | +$2 | +74% |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 11 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | Feb 28 | $5 | +$5 | +88% |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | Feb 28 | $7 | +$3 | +39% |
| Men's Semifinals - USA vs. Slovakia | Feb 20 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finland | Feb 20 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Women's Final - USA vs. Canada | Feb 20 | $80 | +$19 | +24% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20? | Jan 20 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Bills vs. Broncos | Jan 19 | $26 | +$24 | +89% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | Jan 16 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-14? | Jan 14 | $14 | +$13 | +94% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17? | Jan 14 | $49 | −$49 | -100% |
| Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5 | Jan 14 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Spread: Texans (-3.5) | Jan 13 | $25 | +$32 | +127% |
| Chargers vs. Patriots | Jan 12 | $25 | +$15 | +61% |
| Spread: Patriots (-3.5) | Jan 12 | $10 | +$7 | +73% |
| Miami vs. Indiana | Jan 12 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | +49.0% | +34.8% | 67% | 67% | +86.2% |
| ≤30d | 12 | +49.0% | +34.8% | 67% | 67% | +86.2% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +49.0% | +34.8% | 67% | 67% | +86.2% |
| all | 27 | +17.9% | +6.6% | 59% | 59% | +26.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +6.6% | 59% | +26.8% |
| 10% | -3.6% | 59% | +14.7% |
| 15% | -12.9% | 52% | +3.6% |
| 20% | -21.4% | 44% | -6.6% |