Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:47:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5B
0x5b7d…cb08
other · 134 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$418 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$330 · open −$73
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$180
Realized−$330
Unrealized−$73
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses51 / 71
Whale WR (big bets)80%
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions12
Markets (closed)122 / 134
History coverage38d
Avg bet$83
Trades / day12.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit37%
Chart Positions 12 History 122 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$245
7 days−$222
14 days−$222
30 days−$297
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes 42¢ 24¢ $139 $78 −$60 (-43%)
Will Bradley Barcola be in France's Starting 11? No 92¢ 47¢ $37 $19 −$18 (-49%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 11¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+5%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-0%)
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) Justin Gaethje 20¢ 20¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 10¢ $8 $10 +$2 (+19%)
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-9%)
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-11%)
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card) Sean OMalley 78¢ 78¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+1%)
Will Brenden Aaronson be in the starting 11 for the USA's first 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage match? Yes 5¢ 8¢ $5 $8 +$2 (+50%)
Will Matt Turner be in the starting 11 for the USA's first 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage match? Yes 4¢ 6¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+62%)
Will Lionel Messi be in Argentina's Starting 11? No 5¢ 6¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+20%)
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card) Daniel Santos 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5 Over 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Sevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 44 million views on day 2? No 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Thunder vs. Spurs Thunder 33¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in May? Yes 61¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Modestas Bukauskas vs. Christian Edwards (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) Christian Edwards 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Kim Min-jae score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $51 −$44 -87%
Will Morocco be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? Jun 12 $5 $0 -1%
Will Ecuador be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? Jun 12 $5 $0 -3%
Will Alex Sandro be in Brazil's Starting 11? Jun 12 $17 −$12 -73%
Will Colombia finish second in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Grou Jun 12 $22 −$1 -7%
Will Nathaniel Brown be in Germany's Starting 11? Jun 12 $18 −$14 -76%
Will Felix Nmecha be in Germany's Starting 11? Jun 12 $18 −$16 -90%
Will Paraguay be the worst-placed South American nation in the 2026 FI Jun 12 $3 $0 -10%
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June? Jun 12 $34 −$8 -23%
Will Tim Weah be in the starting 11 for the USA's first 2026 FIFA Worl Jun 12 $2 −$1 -63%
Will Memphis Depay be in Netherlands's Starting 11? Jun 12 $18 $0 -2%
Will Exequiel Palacios be in Argentina's Starting 11? Jun 12 $34 −$28 -82%
Will Valentín Barco be in Argentina's Starting 11? Jun 12 $18 −$1 -5%
Will Facundo Medina be in Argentina's Starting 11? Jun 12 $18 −$14 -80%
Will Yuto Nagatomo be in Japan's Starting 11? Jun 12 $66 −$4 -6%
Will Francisco Trincão be in Portugal's Starting 11? Jun 12 $2 −$1 -48%
Will Diogo Dalot be in Portugal's Starting 11? Jun 12 $23 $0 -2%
Will Pedro Neto be in Portugal's Starting 11? Jun 12 $19 −$1 -7%
Will Dani Olmo be in Spain's Starting 11? Jun 12 $18 $0 -2%
Will Nico Williams be in Spain's Starting 11? Jun 12 $18 −$1 -8%
Will Martín Zubimendi be in Spain's Starting 11? Jun 12 $18 −$2 -13%
Will Ferran Torres be in Spain's Starting 11? Jun 12 $18 −$14 -76%
Will Bukayo Saka be in England's Starting 11? Jun 12 $9 −$6 -67%
Will Reece James be in England's Starting 11? Jun 12 $8 +$1 +10%
Will Nico O'Reilly be in England's Starting 11? Jun 12 $9 −$6 -65%
Will Junnosuke Suzuki be in Japan's Starting 11? Jun 12 $1 $0 -30%
Will Yukinari Sugawara be in Japan's Starting 11? Jun 12 $5 −$2 -37%
Will Yuito Suzuki be in Japan's Starting 11? Jun 12 $18 −$16 -91%
Will Ko Itakura be in Japan's Starting 11? Jun 12 $18 −$15 -85%
Will Ritsu Doan be in Japan's Starting 11? Jun 12 $44 −$10 -23%
Will Marc Guéhi be in England's Starting 11? Jun 12 $9 +$2 +18%
Will the announcers say "Legend" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Jun 12 $148 −$58 -39%
Will Danilo Santos be in Brazil's Starting 11? Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Will Netherlands's Starting 11 include a player not listed above? Jun 12 $48 $0 +0%
Will Marc Guéhi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $43 +$2 +4%
Will Senegal be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? Jun 12 $6 $0 +3%
Will South Korea be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup? Jun 12 $77 +$1 +1%
Will Qatar be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup? Jun 12 $19 $0 +1%
Will Bosnia & Herzegovina be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the Worl Jun 12 $174 −$1 -0%
Will João Cancelo be in Portugal's Starting 11? Jun 12 $90 +$1 +1%
Will Frenkie de Jong score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $9 $0 +0%
Will 7+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA Wo Jun 12 $11 $0 -1%
Will Endrick be in Brazil's Starting 11? Jun 12 $46 $0 +1%
Will Curaçao be the worst-placed Central American nation in the 2026 F Jun 12 $1 $0 -2%
Will Ivan Perišić score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $0 $0 -2%
Will Türkiye finish second in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Jun 12 $12 $0 +2%
Will Senegal be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? Jun 12 $28 +$3 +9%
Will Alex Freeman be in the starting 11 for the USA's first 2026 FIFA Jun 12 $19 $0 +0%
Will Hiroki Ito be in Japan's Starting 11? Jun 12 $18 +$1 +3%
Will Noni Madueke be in England's Starting 11? Jun 12 $33 +$1 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 39% +$47
other 36% −$317
finance 12% +$19
weather 4% +$1
sports 3% −$105
crypto 3% −$3
culture 1% −$36
politics 1% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Matt Turner be in the starting 11 for the USA's first 2026 FIFA W SELL Yes 2¢ $0 4m
Will Brenden Aaronson be in the starting 11 for the USA's first 2026 F BUY Yes 5¢ $5 11m
Will Matt Turner be in the starting 11 for the USA's first 2026 FIFA W BUY Yes 4¢ $4 11m
Will Kim Min-jae score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 7¢ $7 1h
Will Bradley Barcola be in France's Starting 11? SELL No 13¢ $1 1h
Will Morocco be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? SELL No 53¢ $5 1h
Will Ecuador be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? SELL No 54¢ $5 1h
Will Alex Sandro be in Brazil's Starting 11? SELL No 23¢ $4 1h
Will Colombia finish second in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Grou SELL No 51¢ $20 1h
Will Nathaniel Brown be in Germany's Starting 11? SELL No 22¢ $4 1h
Will Felix Nmecha be in Germany's Starting 11? SELL No 9¢ $2 1h
Will Paraguay be the worst-placed South American nation in the 2026 FI SELL Yes 45¢ $2 1h
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June? SELL Yes 44¢ $26 1h
Will Tim Weah be in the starting 11 for the USA's first 2026 FIFA Worl SELL Yes 3¢ $1 1h
Will Memphis Depay be in Netherlands's Starting 11? SELL No 73¢ $2 1h
Will Exequiel Palacios be in Argentina's Starting 11? SELL No 19¢ $4 1h
Will Exequiel Palacios be in Argentina's Starting 11? SELL Yes 13¢ $3 1h
Will Valentín Barco be in Argentina's Starting 11? SELL No 86¢ $17 1h
Will Facundo Medina be in Argentina's Starting 11? SELL No 18¢ $4 1h
Will Yuto Nagatomo be in Japan's Starting 11? SELL No 82¢ $43 1h
Will Francisco Trincão be in Portugal's Starting 11? SELL Yes 5¢ $1 1h
Will Diogo Dalot be in Portugal's Starting 11? SELL Yes 15¢ $6 1h
Will Pedro Neto be in Portugal's Starting 11? SELL Yes 84¢ $11 1h
Will Dani Olmo be in Spain's Starting 11? SELL No 86¢ $7 1h
Will Nico Williams be in Spain's Starting 11? SELL No 81¢ $16 1h
Will Martín Zubimendi be in Spain's Starting 11? SELL No 77¢ $15 1h
Will Ferran Torres be in Spain's Starting 11? SELL No 22¢ $4 1h
Will Bukayo Saka be in England's Starting 11? SELL No 16¢ $3 1h
Will Reece James be in England's Starting 11? SELL No 13¢ $1 1h
Will Nico O'Reilly be in England's Starting 11? SELL No 17¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-21.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 74 -14.7% -22.9% 38% 3% -13.9%
≤30d 113 -12.6% -20.9% 42% 6% -12.1%
≤90d 122 -13.1% -21.4% 42% 7% -12.3%
all 122 -13.1% -21.4% 42% 7% -12.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.4% 7% -12.3%
10% -28.9% 6% -20.7%
15% -35.8% 5% -28.4%
20% -42.0% 4% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $179.95 · official $180.55 (match) · 514 history records