Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:26:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5B
0x5b86…97c9
crypto · 542 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$89 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$89 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$89
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses281 / 261
Open positions0
Markets (closed)542 / 542
History coverage11d
Avg bet$47
Trades / day258.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 542 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$32
7 days−$109
14 days−$89
30 days−$89
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$40 +376%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $45 +$5 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $55 −$5 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $55 −$5 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $58 −$8 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $59 −$9 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $45 +$5 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $55 −$5 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $55 −$5 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $45 +$5 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $45 +$5 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $45 +$5 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $45 +$5 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $60 −$10 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $45 +$5 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $45 +$5 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $45 +$5 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $53 −$3 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $58 −$8 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $58 −$8 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $59 −$9 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $54 −$4 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $57 −$7 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $62 −$9 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $45 +$5 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $45 +$5 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $45 +$5 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $45 +$5 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $58 −$8 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $45 +$5 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $45 +$5 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $59 −$9 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 11 $45 +$5 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$21 +376%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $45 +$5 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $45 +$5 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 11 $58 −$8 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 11 $45 +$5 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 11 $58 −$8 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 11 $58 −$8 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 11 $45 +$5 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $45 +$5 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 11 $60 −$10 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 11 $49 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 11 $45 +$5 +11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$89
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $10 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $14 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $17 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $3 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $0 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $10 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $44 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $44 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $48 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 329 -2.3% -11.6% 48% 29% -10.2%
≤30d 542 +0.3% -9.3% 52% 27% -9.8%
≤90d 542 +0.3% -9.3% 52% 27% -9.8%
all 542 +0.3% -9.3% 52% 27% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover258.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.3% 27% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here -18.0% 3% -18.5%
15% -25.9% 2% -26.3%
20% -33.2% 2% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records