Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:46:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5B
0x5b87…b6bd
crypto · 85 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$61 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$60 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$868
Realized+$60
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses51 / 50
Open positions1
Markets (closed)101 / 85
History coverage1d
Avg bet$257
Trades / day3416.0
Drawdown89%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 101 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$60
7 days+$60
14 days+$60
30 days+$60
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 44¢ 100¢ $201 $457 +$256 (+127%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 69¢ 100¢ $270 $391 +$120 (+45%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 0¢ 50¢ $0 $20 +$20 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 26¢ 50¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+94%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $115 $0 −$115 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $270 $0 −$270 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $270 −$270 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $115 −$115 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $262 −$4 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $236 +$24 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $306 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $253 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $265 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $152 −$5 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $218 +$14 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $476 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $226 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $222 +$14 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $321 +$14 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $161 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $125 −$11 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $124 +$7 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $162 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $283 +$9 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $363 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $407 +$15 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $225 +$13 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $235 +$14 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $158 +$11 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $131 −$4 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $211 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $202 +$11 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $419 +$16 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $291 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $238 −$2 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $215 +$19 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $228 +$9 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $237 −$6 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $135 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $137 −$7 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $313 −$3 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$558
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $8 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $8 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $8 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $15 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $8 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $9 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $8 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $16 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $11 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $32 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $20 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 4m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-23.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 101 -14.9% -23.0% 50% 5% -9.3%
≤30d 101 -14.9% -23.0% 50% 5% -9.3%
≤90d 101 -14.9% -23.0% 50% 5% -9.3%
all 101 -14.9% -23.0% 50% 5% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3416.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.0% 5% -9.3%
10% ← realistic here -30.4% 1% -18.0%
15% -37.1% 1% -25.9%
20% -43.3% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $867.82 · official $867.82 (match) · 3500 history records