trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parli | Jun 13 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary elec | May 20 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| New York City FC vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 2.5 | Apr 20 | $118 | +$96 | +82% |
| Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22? | Apr 14 | $841 | −$1 | -0% |
| USDC depeg by December 31? | Apr 14 | $787 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Hugo Ekitike be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premie | Apr 14 | $807 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Marciele Albuquerque be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26? | Apr 14 | $751 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | Apr 14 | $1,702 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Maya Joint win the 2026 Women’s French Open? | Apr 14 | $810 | +$2 | +0% |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $140-$150 on the final day of trading of | Apr 14 | $1,593 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the | Apr 14 | $769 | +$1 | +0% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 9PM ET | Mar 02 | $7 | +$7 | +100% |
| XRP Up or Down - February 28, 8AM ET | Mar 01 | $5 | +$5 | +100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 3PM ET | Mar 01 | $5 | +$5 | +100% |
| Solana Up or Down - February 26, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | Feb 27 | $16 | +$16 | +100% |
| Solana Up or Down - February 25, 11PM ET | Feb 26 | $11 | +$11 | +100% |
| XRP Up or Down - February 23, 6PM ET | Feb 25 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | Feb 25 | $6 | +$5 | +96% |
| XRP Up or Down - February 20, 3AM ET | Feb 22 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 11 | +7.4% | -2.8% | 55% | 9% | -8.5% |
| all | 19 | +25.1% | +13.2% | 63% | 37% | -8.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +13.2% | 37% | -8.1% |
| 10% | +2.4% | 37% | -16.9% |
| 15% | -7.5% | 37% | -24.9% |
| 20% | -16.6% | 37% | -32.3% |