trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -0.5% | -10.0% | 9% | 0% | -9.9% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -0.5% | -10.0% | 9% | 0% | -9.9% |
| all | 24 | -2.8% | -12.0% | 38% | 8% | -11.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.0% | 8% | -11.1% |
| 10% | -20.5% | 0% | -19.6% |
| 15% | -28.1% | 0% | -27.4% |
| 20% | -35.2% | 0% | -34.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 19 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 19 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 18 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Jun 18 | $34 | $0 | -1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 17 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 08 | $54 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 07 | $11 | $0 | -1% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 06 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 06 | $148 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 05 | $36 | $0 | -1% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 02 | $36 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Jun 27 | $1 | $0 | +11% |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? | Jun 03 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 31 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference? | May 31 | $8 | +$1 | +8% |
| Will 'Jurassic World: Rebirth' have the best domestic opening weekend | May 23 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026? | May 22 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $85k in May? | May 20 | $8 | $0 | +1% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting? | May 18 | $8 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series? | May 18 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference? | May 16 | $8 | +$1 | +12% |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on April 30? | Apr 12 | $8 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the Eastern Conference? | Mar 24 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 51-52°F on February | Mar 03 | $10 | $0 | +5% |