Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:50:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5B
0x5ba1…1703
other · 379 markets active 2h ago
3.0score
−$1,291 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,403 · open +$111
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$180
Realized−$1,403
Unrealized+$111
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses153 / 224
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Est. fees paid−$16
Open positions2
Markets (closed)377 / 379
History coverage578d
Avg bet$72
Trades / day0.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit52%
Chart Positions 2 History 377 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days+$207
30 days+$87
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 21¢ 60¢ $55 $158 +$103 (+188%)
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) Bosnia and Herzegovina 7¢ 11¢ $14 $22 +$8 (+57%)
Will Red Star FC win on 2026-01-30? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will En Avant Guingamp win on 2026-02-06? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $62 $0 −$62 (-100%)
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-02-03? No 15¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-11? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Will South Africa vs. Cameroon end in a draw? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell (Featherweight, Main Card) Michael Aswell 36¢ 0¢ $105 $0 −$105 (-100%)
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Will SC Bastia win on 2026-01-30? Yes 43¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-02-04? No 5¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-11.5) Spurs 51¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Will Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
UFC 325: Finney vs. Malkoun (Middleweight, Prelims) Finney 14¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
UFC 325: Mullarkey vs. Salkilld (Lightweight, Prelims) Mullarkey 13¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-30? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09? Yes 45¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Roman Dolidze vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card) Roman Dolidze 23¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Capitals vs. Canucks Capitals 61¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-14? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will France vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? Jun 04 $15 −$15 -97%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? Jun 04 $280 +$222 +79%
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $51 −$50 -98%
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $31 −$30 -98%
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $41 −$40 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET May 12 $21 +$19 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET May 12 $31 +$23 +73%
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-05-10? May 12 $36 +$48 +134%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10? May 12 $71 +$44 +62%
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-05-10? May 12 $102 +$173 +170%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET May 12 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET May 11 $15 −$14 -96%
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11? May 11 $72 −$70 -98%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11? May 10 $32 −$30 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET May 10 $4 −$4 -95%
Will Toulouse FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw? May 10 $14 −$14 -98%
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-10? May 10 $26 −$25 -98%
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-10? May 10 $18 −$18 -98%
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-05-10? May 10 $56 −$55 -99%
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-05-10? May 10 $35 −$34 -98%
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-10? May 10 $76 −$75 -98%
Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-2.5) May 10 $15 −$15 -98%
Will Angers SCO win on 2026-05-10? May 10 $29 −$28 -98%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-10? May 10 $20 −$20 -98%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? May 05 $154 −$150 -98%
Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw? May 03 $31 −$30 -97%
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-03? May 03 $51 −$50 -98%
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, May 02 $162 +$17 +10%
UFC Fight Night: Beneil Dariush vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Mai May 02 $87 −$85 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Apr 28 $15 +$31 +203%
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-22? Apr 28 $61 +$617 +1011%
Spread: Stade Brestois 29 (-1.5) Apr 24 $60 +$84 +141%
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. OGC Nice end in a draw? Apr 22 $65 −$63 -97%
Will Racing Club de Lens vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw? Apr 21 $25 −$24 -97%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15? Apr 15 $80 −$78 -98%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14? Apr 14 $50 −$49 -97%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11? Apr 11 $35 −$34 -97%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07? Apr 07 $110 −$108 -98%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07? Apr 07 $53 −$52 -98%
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw? Mar 22 $40 −$40 -100%
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-22? Mar 22 $85 −$85 -100%
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw? Mar 22 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw? Mar 22 $24 −$24 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Nathaniel Wood vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Preli Mar 21 $30 +$45 +150%
UFC Fight Night: Danny Silva vs. Kurtis Campbell (Featherweight, Main Mar 21 $55 +$137 +248%
Will Lerone Murphy win by KO or TKO? Mar 21 $90 −$90 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Mar 21 $130 −$130 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell (Featherweight, Main Ca Mar 21 $105 −$105 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Main Ca Mar 21 $50 −$50 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Austen Lane vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, M Mar 21 $25 −$25 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 39% +$10
crypto 36% −$1,084
sports 22% −$222
politics 2% −$53
world 1% +$43
economics 0% +$14
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 7¢ $14 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 21¢ $56 1h
Will France vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? BUY Yes 10¢ $15 7d
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? BUY Yes 55¢ $280 13d
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-05-17? BUY Yes 14¢ $51 26d
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-17? BUY Yes 33¢ $31 26d
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-05-17? BUY No 14¢ $41 26d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $31 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $6 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $4 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $21 31d
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11? BUY Yes 23¢ $72 32d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11? BUY No 25¢ $32 32d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $4 32d
Will Toulouse FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw? BUY Yes 15¢ $14 32d
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-10? BUY No 28¢ $26 33d
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-10? BUY No 23¢ $18 33d
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-05-10? BUY No 23¢ $10 33d
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-05-10? BUY No 19¢ $14 33d
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-05-10? BUY Yes 14¢ $10 33d
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-05-10? BUY No 27¢ $5 33d
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-10? BUY Yes 19¢ $26 33d
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-05-10? BUY Yes 25¢ $26 33d
Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-2.5) BUY Olympique Lyonnais 13¢ $15 33d
Will Angers SCO win on 2026-05-10? BUY Yes 37¢ $29 33d
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-05-10? BUY No 62¢ $40 33d
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-05-10? BUY No 49¢ $20 33d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-10? BUY No 20¢ $20 33d
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10? BUY Yes 61¢ $71 33d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-12.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 5 -64.1% -67.5% 20% 20% +9.5%
≤90d 60 +22.5% +10.9% 30% 28% +1.2%
all 377 -3.7% -12.9% 41% 38% -14.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.9% 38% -14.6%
10% -21.2% 35% -22.8%
15% -28.8% 31% -30.3%
20% -35.8% 26% -37.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $180.45 · official $180.45 (match) · 697 history records