Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T05:49:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5B
0x5bbe…c65d
sports · 335 markets active 2h ago
3.0score
+$25,594 +31%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$30,866 · open −$15,644
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$244
Realized+$30,866
Unrealized−$15,644
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses122 / 211
Whale WR (big bets)28%
Est. fees paid−$772
Open positions2
Markets (closed)333 / 335
History coverage414d
Avg bet$250
Trades / day8.2
Drawdown22%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 2 History 333 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$356
7 days−$980
14 days−$1,071
30 days−$2,510
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? No 2¢ 0¢ $7,333 $167 −$7,167 (-98%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $8,556 $78 −$8,478 (-99%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner Heroic 1¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) FURIA 3¢ 0¢ $109 $0 −$109 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 1 Winner G2 1¢ 0¢ $222 $0 −$222 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs FURIA 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner Movistar KOI 1¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner Aurora Gaming 1¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winner FURIA Esports 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Lakers vs. Kings Kings 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner Aurora Gaming 2¢ 0¢ $133 $0 −$133 (-100%)
Spread: Bengals (-6.5) Bengals 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Dplus KIA 1¢ 0¢ $109 $0 −$109 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner NRG 0¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Braves Yes 98¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage Voca 1¢ 0¢ $175 $0 −$175 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winner Team Secret Whales 1¢ 0¢ $111 $0 −$111 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier Monte 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) Bilibili Gaming 11¢ 0¢ $1,999 $0 −$1,999 (-100%)
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffs Movistar KOI 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NIP vs TYLOO (BO1) TYLOO 3¢ 0¢ $108 $0 −$108 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 1¢ 0¢ $114 $0 −$114 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Rare Atom (BO1) Rare Atom 3¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Astralis 1¢ 0¢ $91 $0 −$91 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $356 −$356 -100%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Aces Jun 10 $734 −$334 -46%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $291 −$291 -100%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $91 −$91 -100%
Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe - Map 1 Winner May 28 $356 −$356 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winner May 25 $305 −$305 -100%
World Championships: Norway vs. Latvia May 24 $1,130 −$530 -47%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 3 Winner May 24 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 Winner May 22 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 3 Winner May 17 $432 −$52 -12%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner May 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner May 17 $114 −$114 -100%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winner May 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner May 15 $52 −$52 -100%
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner May 13 $290 −$290 -100%
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner May 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? May 13 $98 +$33 +33%
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? May 12 $6 +$6 +100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 Winner May 11 $199 −$196 -99%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage May 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 - Map 2 Winner May 10 $256 −$256 -100%
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winner May 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever May 09 $951 −$451 -47%
Counter-Strike: Hermine Esports Club vs HAVENs - Map 1 Winner May 03 $961 −$461 -48%
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? May 03 $15 +$172 +1176%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner May 01 $50 −$30 -59%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner Apr 30 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A Apr 29 $3 $0 +0%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Shifters - Game 1 Winner Apr 25 $21 −$8 -37%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 3 Winner Apr 19 $15 $0 -0%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner Apr 18 $117 +$206 +176%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B Apr 13 $13 −$13 -100%
SHL: Vaexjoe vs. Roegle Apr 13 $1,155 −$534 -46%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner Apr 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 11 $667 +$1,526 +229%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 09 $1,052 +$6,258 +595%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Apr 06 $11 −$11 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Apr 06 $435 −$434 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs EYEBALLERS - Map 2 Winner Apr 05 $113 −$113 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs EYEBALLERS - Map 1 Winner Apr 05 $91 −$91 -100%
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage Apr 05 $175 −$175 -100%
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Voca - Map 2 Winner Apr 05 $66 −$66 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner Apr 05 $56 −$56 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Play Apr 04 $56 −$56 -100%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians v Apr 04 $868 −$216 -25%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Apr 04 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FOKUS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage Apr 04 $13 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winner Apr 04 $222 −$222 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Buchar Apr 04 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 2 Winner Apr 04 $24 −$24 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 76% +$300
other 13% +$1,918
culture 10% +$13,505
crypto 1% −$569
economics 0% +$68
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 2¢ $184 2h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 2¢ $5 2h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 2¢ $11 2h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 2¢ $868 2h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 2¢ $18 2h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 2¢ $400 2h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 2¢ $73 2h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 2¢ $2 2h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 2¢ $20 2h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 2¢ $1 2h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 2¢ $1 2h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 2¢ $267 2h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 2¢ $26 2h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 2¢ $25 2h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 2¢ $1 2h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 2¢ $109 2h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 2¢ $0 2h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 2¢ $2 2h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 2¢ $2 2h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 2¢ $1 2h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 2¢ $9 2h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 2¢ $0 2h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 2¢ $54 2h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 2¢ $0 2h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 2¢ $0 2h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 2¢ $0 2h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 2¢ $0 2h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 2¢ $0 2h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 2¢ $2 2h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 2¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)+222.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -81.8% -83.6% 0% 0% -73.8%
≤30d 14 -92.3% -93.0% 0% 0% -74.2%
≤90d 87 +130.7% +108.7% 24% 21% +8.9%
all 333 +256.7% +222.7% 37% 35% +11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +222.7% 35% +11.5%
10% +191.8% 34% +0.8%
15% +163.6% 33% -8.9%
20% +137.8% 31% -17.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $244.44 · official $244.44 (match) · 3500 history records