Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:10:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5B
0x5bc3…7a59
crypto · 381 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,178 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,158 · open +$17
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,227
Realized+$1,158
Unrealized+$17
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses130 / 245
Whale WR (big bets)44%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions9
Markets (closed)375 / 381
History coverage1d
Avg bet$70
Trades / day3113.0
Drawdown84%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 9 History 375 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,158
7 days+$1,158
14 days+$1,158
30 days+$1,158
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? No 94¢ 94¢ $1,134 $1,143 +$9 (+1%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? No 63¢ 76¢ $23 $28 +$5 (+20%)
Will Solana dip to $50 in June? No 83¢ 94¢ $20 $22 +$2 (+12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 49¢ 90¢ $9 $17 +$8 (+83%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET Up 49¢ 100¢ $4 $9 +$4 (+103%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June? No 86¢ 96¢ $4 $5 +$0 (+12%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 48¢ 50¢ $2 $3 +$0 (+4%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 48¢ 22¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-53%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $74 +$51 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $265 −$18 -7%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +104%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $145 +$104 +72%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $171 +$59 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +104%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +108%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$15 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $160 −$44 -27%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$4 +46%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $96 +$106 +110%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $65 +$70 +108%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$16 +104%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $220 +$31 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$102 +102%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +108%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$11 +117%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $417 +$166 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $1,796 −$12 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $102 +$68 +66%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$7 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $149 +$61 +41%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +104%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$13 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$1,174
other 0% $0
sports 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 4m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $9 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $4 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $9 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $7 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $0 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $12 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $8 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $0 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $6 20m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 375 -2.1% -11.4% 35% 32% -5.7%
≤30d 375 -2.1% -11.4% 35% 32% -5.7%
≤90d 375 -2.1% -11.4% 35% 32% -5.7%
all 375 -2.1% -11.4% 35% 32% -5.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3113.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.4% 32% -5.7%
10% ← realistic here -19.9% 31% -14.7%
15% -27.6% 30% -22.9%
20% -34.7% 29% -30.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,227.26 · official $1,225.08 (match) · 3500 history records