trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 4 | -20.4% | -27.9% | 50% | 50% | -28.6% |
| ≤90d | 15 | +14.5% | +3.6% | 80% | 47% | +14.4% |
| all | 19 | +11.7% | +1.0% | 84% | 37% | +12.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +1.0% | 37% | +12.4% |
| 10% | -8.6% | 26% | +1.6% |
| 15% | -17.5% | 21% | -8.2% |
| 20% | -25.6% | 11% | -17.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | No | 39¢ | 38¢ | $159 | $157 | −$2 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 | Jun 09 | $118 | +$42 | +36% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 03 | $65 | −$64 | -99% |
| Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage | May 28 | $153 | −$150 | -98% |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals | May 21 | $99 | +$82 | +83% |
| Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Play | May 13 | $117 | +$339 | +291% |
| LoL: TLN Pirates vs Esprit Shōnen (BO3) - LFL Playoffs | May 13 | $59 | +$14 | +24% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | May 06 | $13 | +$1 | +7% |
| Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | May 06 | $13 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March | May 06 | $14 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | May 06 | $12 | +$2 | +17% |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in Febru | May 06 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? | May 06 | $27 | $0 | +1% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | May 06 | $38 | +$15 | +38% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? | May 06 | $87 | +$12 | +14% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | Apr 28 | $60 | −$59 | -100% |
| U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | Feb 03 | $25 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $12 end of January? | Feb 03 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Venezuela ceasefire by January 31? | Feb 03 | $25 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will Google (GOOGL) hit $375 before 2026?? | Jan 10 | $12 | $0 | +0% |