Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:39:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5B
0x5bdc…c6ab
sports · 114 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,227 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,328 · open +$29
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$51
Realized−$1,328
Unrealized+$29
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses47 / 66
Est. fees paid−$494
Open positions1
Markets (closed)113 / 114
History coverage53d
Avg bet$183
Trades / day17.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 113 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$16
7 days−$16
14 days−$652
30 days−$528
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Ben Shelton 42¢ 100¢ $21 $51 +$29 (+138%)
Set Handicap: Shnaider (-1.5) vs Chwalinska (+1.5) Shnaider 36¢ 0¢ $143 $0 −$143 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 32¢ 0¢ $134 $0 −$134 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Tabilo vs Kamil Majchrzak Kamil Majchrzak 15¢ 0¢ $128 $0 −$128 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoe Hubert Hurkacz 14¢ 0¢ $96 $0 −$96 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodar Alex Michelsen 16¢ 0¢ $179 $0 −$179 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca Casper Ruud 16¢ 0¢ $158 $0 −$158 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli Felix Auger-Aliassime 35¢ 0¢ $416 $0 −$416 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Jaume Munar vs Hubert Hurkacz Jaume Munar 27¢ 0¢ $134 $0 −$134 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Nick Kyrgios 25¢ 0¢ $163 $0 −$163 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Ignacio Buse vs Andrey Rublev Ignacio Buse 12¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev Andrey Rublev 22¢ 0¢ $132 $0 −$132 (-100%)
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Felix Auger-Aliassime 36¢ 0¢ $108 $0 −$108 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Stefanos Tsitsipas 15¢ 0¢ $122 $0 −$122 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska Diana Shnaider 29¢ 0¢ $193 $0 −$193 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensik Alex de Minaur 30¢ 0¢ $295 $0 −$295 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca Joao Fonseca 40¢ 0¢ $226 $0 −$226 (-100%)
Perugia: Luca Nardi vs Remy Bertola Luca Nardi 28¢ 0¢ $184 $0 −$184 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Novak Djokovic Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 9¢ 0¢ $122 $0 −$122 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignon Raphael Collignon 24¢ 0¢ $72 $0 −$72 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $110 −$108 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $135 −$134 -99%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $150 +$233 +155%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $194 +$156 +81%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $165 −$163 -99%
Perugia: Luca Nardi vs Remy Bertola Jun 04 $187 −$184 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 04 $106 −$100 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 04 $104 −$100 -96%
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska Jun 04 $197 −$193 -98%
Set Handicap: Shnaider (-1.5) vs Chwalinska (+1.5) Jun 04 $143 −$143 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 03 $371 +$451 +122%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 03 $419 −$416 -99%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca Jun 02 $228 −$226 -99%
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 01 $296 +$252 +85%
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca May 31 $162 −$158 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev May 31 $221 −$39 -18%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashima May 31 $155 +$145 +93%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comesana May 30 $206 +$73 +36%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignon May 30 $72 −$72 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Moise Kouame vs Alejandro Tabilo May 30 $159 +$129 +81%
Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jong May 29 $269 +$242 +90%
Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensik May 29 $300 −$295 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodar May 29 $180 −$179 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas May 28 $124 −$122 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoe May 28 $97 −$96 -99%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaier May 26 $285 +$257 +90%
Roland Garros ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Gael Monfils May 26 $52 +$48 +92%
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Tabilo vs Kamil Majchrzak May 26 $131 −$128 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Roman Safiullin May 25 $67 +$455 +677%
Roland Garros ATP: Ignacio Buse vs Andrey Rublev May 25 $61 −$61 -99%
Roland Garros ATP: Jaume Munar vs Hubert Hurkacz May 25 $135 −$134 -99%
Roland Garros ATP: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Novak Djokovic May 24 $125 −$122 -98%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderi May 24 $199 −$199 -100%
Pistons vs. Cavaliers May 24 $319 −$68 -21%
Pistons vs. Cavaliers May 24 $224 −$224 -100%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 24 $238 −$238 -100%
Knicks vs. Cavaliers May 24 $103 +$110 +107%
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Alex de Minaur May 21 $153 +$132 +86%
Geneva Open: Alex Michelsen vs Learner Tien May 21 $153 +$105 +69%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 19 $371 +$110 +30%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons May 18 $73 +$95 +130%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons May 14 $226 +$383 +170%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili May 12 $157 +$315 +201%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublik May 10 $164 +$273 +166%
Spread: Thunder (-8.5) May 10 $257 +$201 +78%
Raptors vs. Cavaliers May 09 $104 +$54 +52%
76ers vs. Knicks May 09 $93 −$93 -100%
Raptors vs. Cavaliers May 09 $172 −$5 -3%
Magic vs. Pistons May 09 $65 −$65 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Tomas Machac May 09 $221 −$221 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 97% −$1,016
crypto 3% −$283
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 36¢ $110 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron SELL Ben Shelton 70¢ $18 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron SELL Ben Shelton 70¢ $18 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron SELL Ben Shelton 57¢ $19 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron SELL Ben Shelton 47¢ $21 1h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 21¢ $32 2h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron SELL Ben Shelton 70¢ $125 2h
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic SELL Marin Cilic 93¢ $194 4h
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic SELL Marin Cilic 72¢ $50 4h
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic SELL Marin Cilic 50¢ $139 4h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 38¢ $81 7h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 38¢ $3 7h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 38¢ $13 7h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 38¢ $2 7h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 38¢ $2 7h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 38¢ $1 7h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 42¢ $89 22h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 42¢ $43 22h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 42¢ $19 22h
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 97¢ $60 23h
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 86¢ $53 23h
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 81¢ $100 23h
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 52¢ $23 23h
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 52¢ $3 23h
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 54¢ $9 23h
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 54¢ $3 23h
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 54¢ $3 23h
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 54¢ $5 23h
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 78¢ $42 23h
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 53¢ $37 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -12.9% -21.2% 40% 40% -11.5%
≤30d 42 -3.8% -12.9% 40% 40% -15.9%
≤90d 113 -1.7% -11.1% 42% 42% -15.4%
all 113 -1.7% -11.1% 42% 42% -15.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.1% 42% -15.4%
10% -19.6% 42% -23.5%
15% -27.4% 41% -30.9%
20% -34.5% 40% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $50.61 · official $50.61 (match) · 986 history records