Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:57:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5B
0x5bdc…3d12
crypto · 1561 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$905 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,285 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$1,285
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses1467 / 94
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1561 / 1561
History coverage35d
Avg bet$125
Trades / day51.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1561 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$15
7 days−$30
14 days−$221
30 days−$495
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 90¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $13 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $13 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8PM ET Jun 14 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $100 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET Jun 13 $100 −$23 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $38 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $13 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $13 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $13 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$2 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,285
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $50 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $50 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $50 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $50 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $50 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $13 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $50 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $13 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $25 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $100 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET SELL Up 78¢ $76 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $100 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $6 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $25 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $25 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $6 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $100 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $100 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $13 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $25 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $6 46h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 190 +0.0% -9.5% 95% 1% -7.8%
≤30d 1096 -1.2% -10.6% 93% 4% -8.7%
≤90d 1561 -1.1% -10.6% 94% 3% -9.2%
all 1561 -1.1% -10.6% 94% 3% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover51.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.6% 3% -9.2%
10% ← realistic here -19.1% 2% -17.9%
15% -26.9% 0% -25.9%
20% -34.1% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.56 · official $0.00 (match) · 3296 history records