trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +217.1% | +186.9% | 50% | 50% | +190.2% |
| ≤30d | 6 | +217.1% | +186.9% | 50% | 50% | +190.2% |
| ≤90d | 6 | +217.1% | +186.9% | 50% | 50% | +190.2% |
| all | 15 | +70.8% | +54.5% | 40% | 40% | +107.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +54.5% | 40% | +107.3% |
| 10% | +39.7% | 40% | +87.4% |
| 15% | +26.2% | 40% | +69.3% |
| 20% | +13.8% | 40% | +52.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 35¢ | 10¢ | $400 | $109 | −$291 (-73%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $512 | −$500 | -98% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $400 | −$400 | -100% |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $986 | +$11,001 | +1115% |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $2,057 | −$2,000 | -97% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $1,013 | +$803 | +79% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $1,020 | +$4,164 | +408% |
| Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026? | Jan 17 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026? | Jan 12 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Packers vs. Bears | Jan 12 | $100 | +$117 | +117% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | Jan 08 | $975 | −$975 | -100% |
| LSU vs. Clemson | Aug 31 | $175 | +$307 | +175% |
| Texas vs. Ohio State | Aug 30 | $888 | −$888 | -100% |
| 2024 July hottest on record? | Aug 30 | $50 | +$33 | +67% |
| Toledo vs. Kentucky | Aug 30 | $222 | −$222 | -100% |
| Netherlands vs. England - Who will advance? | Jul 10 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |