Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:10:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5B
0x5bed…daa4
crypto · 801 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,780 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,774 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$3,774
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses391 / 422
Open positions1
Markets (closed)813 / 801
History coverage16d
Avg bet$40
Trades / day182.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 1 History 813 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$619
7 days−$1,643
14 days−$3,215
30 days−$3,774
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up 46¢ 10¢ $8 $2 −$6 (-77%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $34 −$34 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$36 -10694%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$69 +44961%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$37 -1306%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $162 −$162 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $56 −$56 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$36 -9148%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$33 -21807%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $56 −$56 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $72 −$72 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$38 -12565%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$10 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$15 +160%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$10 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$8 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $14 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$4 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$6 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$10 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$9 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $18 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $17 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $19 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $16 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$8 +93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 92% −$3,011
other 8% −$206
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $8 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $10 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $9 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $9 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $8 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $7 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $7 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $9 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $7 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $8 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $7 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $8 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $8 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $10 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-23.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 401 -6.3% -15.2% 46% 34% -17.9%
≤30d 813 -14.9% -23.0% 48% 31% -16.5%
≤90d 813 -14.9% -23.0% 48% 31% -16.5%
all 813 -14.9% -23.0% 48% 31% -16.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover182.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.0% 31% -16.5%
10% ← realistic here -30.4% 18% -24.5%
15% -37.1% 14% -31.8%
20% -43.3% 11% -38.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.71 · official $3.35 · 3500 history records