trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +144.2% | +120.9% | 50% | 50% | +60.7% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +119.8% | +98.9% | 50% | 50% | +13.0% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +119.8% | +98.9% | 50% | 50% | +13.0% |
| all | 16 | +67.1% | +51.2% | 38% | 38% | +38.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +51.2% | 38% | +38.3% |
| 10% | +36.8% | 38% | +25.1% |
| 15% | +23.5% | 38% | +13.0% |
| 20% | +11.4% | 38% | +1.9% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5 AND France vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5 AND Norway | Jun 23 | $1 | +$2 | +236% |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 21 | $1 | −$1 | -53% |
| England vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5 AND Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 AND | Jun 18 | $1 | +$2 | +224% |
| Spread: Austria (-1.5) AND Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 AND Austria | Jun 17 | $1 | +$5 | +494% |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $1 | $0 | -20% |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $5 | −$1 | -16% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 AND Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5 | Jun 14 | $1 | +$2 | +194% |
| Spread: Canada (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $6 | −$6 | -98% |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 30? | Dec 29 | $5 | +$16 | +327% |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | Dec 27 | $13 | −$7 | -54% |
| No airdrop in 2025? | Dec 27 | $5 | −$1 | -15% |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 28? | Dec 27 | $6 | −$4 | -65% |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 31? | Dec 25 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Aug 13 | $30 | +$68 | +227% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Jul 21 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Jul 21 | $20 | −$12 | -58% |