trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 21 | -4.2% | -13.3% | 38% | 38% | -18.9% |
| ≤30d | 23 | -12.5% | -20.9% | 35% | 35% | -27.4% |
| ≤90d | 23 | -12.5% | -20.9% | 35% | 35% | -27.4% |
| all | 23 | -12.5% | -20.9% | 35% | 35% | -27.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -20.9% | 35% | -27.4% |
| 10% | -28.4% | 35% | -34.3% |
| 15% | -35.3% | 35% | -40.7% |
| 20% | -41.7% | 30% | -46.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 20¢ | $193 | $236 | +$43 (+22%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 13¢ | $189 | $226 | +$37 (+19%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 14¢ | $221 | $184 | −$37 (-17%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 7¢ | $199 | $157 | −$42 (-21%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 12¢ | $103 | $153 | +$50 (+49%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 6¢ | $101 | $71 | −$29 (-29%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 6¢ | $50 | $56 | +$6 (+13%) |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 3¢ | $20 | $34 | +$14 (+72%) |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $21 | $15 | −$5 (-26%) |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 68¢ | 68¢ | $14 | $14 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $9 | $6 | −$2 (-28%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5 | Jun 20 | $6 | +$4 | +70% |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 20 | $80 | −$14 | -17% |
| Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5 | Jun 20 | $6 | +$4 | +72% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $12 | −$1 | -8% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $6 | +$2 | +40% |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $5 | −$5 | -92% |
| Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $7 | +$4 | +61% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $3 | +$4 | +133% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $11 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $5 | +$6 | +135% |
| Belgium leading at halftime? | Jun 15 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Spain leading at halftime? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $12 | −$12 | -99% |
| Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score | Jun 14 | $4 | −$4 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $4 | +$13 | +359% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $10 | +$5 | +57% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $12 | −$12 | -99% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 13 | $12 | −$11 | -99% |