Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:37:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5C
0x5c17…84ec
crypto · 396 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$739 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$739 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$739
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses249 / 147
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)396 / 396
History coverage229d
Avg bet$130
Trades / day9.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 0 History 396 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$430
7 days−$430
14 days−$430
30 days−$624
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $97 $0 −$97 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $77 $0 −$77 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $115 $0 −$115 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $62 $0 −$62 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $72 $0 −$72 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $93 $0 −$93 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $81 $0 −$81 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $71 $0 −$71 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $72 −$71 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $47 +$17 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $122 +$5 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $56 −$56 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $46 +$54 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$6 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$17 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$10 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$7 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $64 −$62 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$8 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$16 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $81 −$81 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $43 +$8 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $96 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$4 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $91 +$9 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $39 −$35 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$63 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $61 −$38 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET May 18 $57 +$43 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET May 18 $148 +$52 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET May 18 $83 +$17 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET May 18 $45 +$19 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET May 18 $45 −$43 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET May 18 $154 +$46 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET May 18 $96 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET May 18 $87 +$13 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET May 18 $28 +$72 +257%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET May 18 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET May 18 $86 +$14 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET May 18 $95 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET May 17 $268 +$20 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET May 17 $141 +$59 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET May 17 $93 −$93 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET May 17 $78 +$12 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET May 17 $81 +$7 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET May 17 $71 +$9 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET May 17 $49 +$14 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET May 17 $119 −$46 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET May 17 $79 −$78 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 75% −$570
other 12% +$609
sports 12% −$537
world 1% −$240
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $72 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $6 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $23 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $17 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $12 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $8 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $24 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $24 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $24 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $7 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $25 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $18 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $19 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $25 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $9 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $6 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $6 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $46 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-13.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 -35.1% -41.3% 41% 28% -39.3%
≤30d 106 -13.6% -21.8% 59% 44% -14.4%
≤90d 192 -15.0% -23.1% 58% 44% -14.5%
all 396 -4.3% -13.4% 63% 45% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.4% 45% -10.5%
10% -21.7% 29% -19.1%
15% -29.3% 21% -26.9%
20% -36.2% 13% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2518 history records