Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:25:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5C
0x5c18…2f76
sports · 715 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$6,908 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6,940 · open +$32
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$925
Realized−$6,940
Unrealized+$32
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses299 / 568
Whale WR (big bets)63%
Est. fees paid−$993
Open positions16
Markets (closed)867 / 715
History coverage7d
Avg bet$140
Trades / day447.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 16 History 867 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9,824
7 days−$6,940
14 days−$6,940
30 days−$6,940
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 71¢ 100¢ $280 $395 +$115 (+41%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 83¢ 100¢ $133 $160 +$27 (+20%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Taylor Fritz 41¢ 69¢ $84 $142 +$58 (+69%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Team Heretics 17¢ 22¢ $29 $38 +$9 (+31%)
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Carlos Maria Zarate 49¢ 36¢ $50 $37 −$13 (-26%)
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) Michael Chandler 17¢ 16¢ $35 $34 −$1 (-3%)
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card) Aiemann Zahabi 22¢ 22¢ $27 $26 −$1 (-2%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Team Vitality 82¢ 78¢ $25 $24 −$1 (-5%)
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) Derrick Lewis 22¢ 22¢ $19 $18 −$0 (-2%)
ITF Cuiaba: Noelia Zeballos vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez Noelia Zeballos 27¢ 27¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+0%)
ITF Brasilia: Juan Sebastian Osorio vs Nicolas Oliveira Juan Sebastian Osorio 33¢ 28¢ $14 $12 −$2 (-14%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 4¢ 5¢ $8 $11 +$3 (+31%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5 Over 40¢ 36¢ $7 $6 −$1 (-10%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5 Under 1¢ 1¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+17%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 42¢ 0¢ $55 $1 −$54 (-99%)
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Anubis Gaming 92¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+9%)
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs MASQ (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group B XI Esport 21¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-98%)
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs MASONIC (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group B struggletony 69¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-99%)
Counter-Strike: Washed vs Invicta (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A Invicta 19¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Spurs 36¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
ITF Kayseri: Ksenia Smirnova vs Mariia Bergen Mariia Bergen 28¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5 Over 13¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 Under 58¢ 0¢ $215 $0 −$215 (-100%)
Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm Seattle Storm 36¢ 0¢ $105 $0 −$105 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-15.5) Spurs 7¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ITF Kayseri: Ksenia Smirnova vs Mariia Bergen Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5 Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $215 −$215 -100%
Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm Jun 12 $105 −$105 -100%
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Cervia: Juan Martin vs Michele Ribecai Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $48 −$48 -100%
ITF Montemor-O-Novo: Francisca Jorge vs Katarina Kuzmova Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5 Jun 12 $142 −$142 -100%
ITF Sumter: Whitney Osuigwe vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 201.5 Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 14.5 Jun 12 $134 −$134 -100%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Boris Butulija vs Samuel Vincent Ruggeri Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Alex Molcan vs Felix Gill Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Spread: Thunder (-5.5) Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5) Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5) Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs GenOne (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Cordoba: Juan Bautista Torres vs Miguel Tobon Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-05-24? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Makarska: Lucie Havlickova vs Yasmine Kabbaj Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31? Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 16.5 Jun 12 $242 −$242 -100%
Bengaluru 3: Sasikumar Mukund vs Taiyo Yamanaka Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5 Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-24? Jun 12 $81 −$81 -100%
Will Sporting Kansas City vs. Los Angeles Galaxy end in a draw? Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Geneva Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Clement Tabur Jun 12 $59 −$59 -100%
Spread: New York Mets (-2.5) Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5) Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Little Rock: Enzo Aguiard vs Andre Ilagan Jun 12 $71 −$71 -100%
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5 Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Vexa (BO3) - CCT South America Ser Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Knicks (-9.5) Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 12 $88 −$88 -100%
Bordeaux: Raphael Collignon vs Alexander Shevchenko Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs Jun 12 $82 −$82 -100%
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5) Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
ITF Cuiaba: Livas Eduardo De Carvalho Damazio vs Bautista de la Pena Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Titouan Droguet vs Jakub Mensik Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Alliance (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Fina Jun 12 $48 −$48 -100%
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-16? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5 Jun 12 $122 −$122 -100%
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
ITF Wichita: Dana Guzman vs Lea Ma Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 88% +$5,012
other 11% +$1,797
crypto 0% −$244
world 0% −$50
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 4¢ $0 2m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 4¢ $1 2m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 4¢ $0 3m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 4¢ $1 3m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 4¢ $0 3m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 4¢ $0 3m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 4¢ $2 3m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 4¢ $0 3m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 4¢ $0 3m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 4¢ $0 3m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 4¢ $0 4m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 4¢ $0 4m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 4¢ $0 4m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 4¢ $0 4m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 4¢ $1 4m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 4¢ $0 4m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Vitality 85¢ $18 6m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Heretics 22¢ $8 9m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Vitality 75¢ $8 11m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Heretics 13¢ $13 20m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 92¢ $46 23m
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs MASQ (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group B BUY XI Esport 21¢ $15 24m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 82¢ $71 27m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 82¢ $12 27m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Heretics 23¢ $8 27m
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Carlos Maria Zarate 49¢ $50 30m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 41¢ $42 34m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 41¢ $42 37m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 41¢ $43 39m
Counter-Strike: Washed vs Invicta (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A BUY Invicta 19¢ $8 40m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-32.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 867 -25.6% -32.6% 34% 28% -15.6%
≤30d 867 -25.6% -32.6% 34% 28% -15.6%
≤90d 867 -25.6% -32.6% 34% 28% -15.6%
all 867 -25.6% -32.6% 34% 28% -15.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover447.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -32.6% 28% -15.6%
10% ← realistic here -39.1% 24% -23.7%
15% -45.0% 19% -31.1%
20% -50.4% 16% -37.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $924.76 · official $924.34 (match) · 3500 history records