Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:59:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5C
0x5c21…a6f5
other · 101 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$8 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4 · open −$12
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$260
Realized+$4
Unrealized−$12
Win rate (resolved)26%
Wins / losses21 / 61
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions19
Markets (closed)82 / 101
History coverage159d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day0.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit52%
Chart Positions 19 History 82 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$92
7 days+$45
14 days+$45
30 days+$42
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Over 46¢ 46¢ $50 $51 +$1 (+1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Over 60¢ 58¢ $50 $49 −$1 (-2%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Yes 38¢ 40¢ $30 $31 +$1 (+4%)
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $15 $17 +$2 (+10%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-2%)
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $12 $12 +$0 (+3%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 15¢ 14¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? Yes 8¢ 7¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-5%)
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Morocco? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-6%)
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland? Yes 12¢ 10¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-13%)
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland? Yes 11¢ 9¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-18%)
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 1 Switzerland? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-20%)
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Morocco? Yes 4¢ 3¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-25%)
Exact Score: Qatar 2 - 1 Switzerland? Yes 4¢ 3¢ $10 $7 −$3 (-26%)
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-5%)
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes 17¢ 10¢ $4 $2 −$2 (-44%)
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes 11¢ 6¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-45%)
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 3 South Africa? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 South Africa? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 1 South Africa? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 2 South Africa? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $30 +$35 +114%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $20 +$71 +346%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $51 −$27 -53%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Paraguay? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Paraguay? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 12 $21 −$20 -97%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 12 $21 −$20 -98%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $10 +$52 +510%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $51 +$56 +109%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $20 +$13 +65%
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $51 +$43 +84%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 2 Czechia? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -97%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 3 - 3 Czechia? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -97%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 2 Czechia? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -97%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $31 −$30 -98%
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 2 South Africa? Jun 10 $5 −$5 -97%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 3 South Africa? Jun 10 $5 −$5 -97%
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 South Africa? Jun 10 $5 −$5 -97%
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 1 South Africa? Jun 10 $2 −$2 -97%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? May 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Trump visit China by May 31? May 10 $15 −$5 -33%
Will Trump visit China by May 15? May 10 $5 −$5 -96%
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? Apr 30 $10 −$10 -97%
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? Apr 30 $5 −$5 -94%
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? Apr 30 $10 −$10 -96%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Apr 28 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Apr 22 $3 −$3 -95%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? Apr 22 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? Apr 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? Apr 21 $10 −$3 -25%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? Apr 20 $10 −$9 -94%
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? Apr 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April? Apr 16 $20 +$4 +18%
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? Apr 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April? Apr 15 $15 +$20 +132%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? Apr 15 $10 +$6 +63%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? Apr 11 $12 −$12 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? Apr 10 $5 −$5 -100%
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? Apr 08 $10 +$27 +268%
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? Apr 06 $3 +$4 +137%
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31? Apr 02 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March? Apr 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? Apr 02 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? Apr 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 41% +$128
other 39% −$205
politics 5% −$17
finance 5% +$57
world 5% +$52
crypto 4% −$15
economics 1% −$2
culture 1% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 8¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Morocco? BUY Yes 8¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes 4¢ $10 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 46¢ $51 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland? BUY Yes 11¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 2 - 1 Switzerland? BUY Yes 4¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 12¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 1 Switzerland? BUY Yes 9¢ $10 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 60¢ $51 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 38¢ $31 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 22¢ $20 4h
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 22¢ $10 4h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total Corners SELL Over 26¢ $24 4h
Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Paraguay? BUY Yes 2¢ $10 6h
Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Paraguay? BUY Yes 1¢ $10 6h
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 5¢ $10 6h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 10¢ $10 6h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 11¢ $21 6h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 15¢ $21 6h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $30 6h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 53¢ $51 6h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners BUY Over 60¢ $20 25h
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 4¢ $10 25h
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 5¢ $10 25h
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 12¢ $10 25h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 16¢ $10 25h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $51 25h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners SELL Over 99¢ $93 26h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 2 Czechia? BUY Yes 10¢ $10 42h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 53¢ $51 42h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-37.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 25 -25.0% -32.1% 24% 24% +0.0%
≤30d 26 -27.9% -34.8% 23% 23% -0.7%
≤90d 76 -43.6% -49.0% 20% 20% -11.1%
all 82 -30.9% -37.5% 26% 24% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -37.5% 24% -9.1%
10% -43.5% 23% -17.8%
15% -48.9% 22% -25.7%
20% -53.9% 18% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $259.77 · official $259.78 (match) · 245 history records