trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +2.0% | -7.7% | 33% | 0% | -7.8% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -2.0% | -11.3% | 43% | 0% | -10.2% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -1.4% | -10.8% | 40% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 20 | -5.2% | -14.3% | 50% | 0% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.3% | 0% | -9.5% |
| 10% | -22.5% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -30.0% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -36.8% | 0% | -33.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | Jun 24 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 24 | $45 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 23 | $37 | +$2 | +6% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | May 27 | $6 | −$1 | -12% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 26 | $42 | −$3 | -8% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ma | May 26 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 26 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | May 25 | $36 | +$2 | +6% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | May 24 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | May 21 | $13 | −$1 | -6% |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | Dec 14 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Rumble buy TikTok? | Dec 14 | $9 | $0 | +3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | Jun 02 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Mark Ouellet be the next pope? | May 09 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting? | May 08 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 07 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 18 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 28 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference? | Mar 22 | $12 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 11 | $12 | $0 | -0% |