Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:23:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5C
0x5c2c…a94c
crypto · 416 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$67 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$68 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$80
Realized−$68
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses170 / 236
Open positions10
Markets (closed)406 / 416
History coverage155d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day7.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 10 History 406 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$22
14 days+$73
30 days−$70
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 11¢ $13 $15 +$2 (+18%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $13 $13 −$1 (-5%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+7%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-8%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $9 $8 −$1 (-10%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $9 $8 −$1 (-14%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+16%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 13? Yes 18¢ 15¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-15%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 13? Yes 9¢ 24¢ $1 $3 +$2 (+161%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 13? Jun 12 $5 −$2 -40%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $3 −$2 -77%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $9 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$2 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$2 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$3 +148%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$6 +72%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 12? Jun 11 $1 $0 -19%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 11? Jun 11 $2 −$1 -51%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 −$8 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$5 +500%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$4 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$4 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 9? Jun 09 $3 −$3 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 9? Jun 09 $5 −$5 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on June 9? Jun 09 $3 −$3 -92%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 8? Jun 09 $1 +$4 +405%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 8? Jun 08 $4 +$7 +176%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 9? Jun 08 $2 −$1 -55%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 8? Jun 08 $9 −$3 -29%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 46% +$40
weather 32% −$312
other 22% +$203
finance 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 13? BUY Yes 20¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 13? SELL Yes 6¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 13? BUY Yes 15¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 12? SELL Yes 6¢ $1 18h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 12? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 18h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 12? BUY Yes 20¢ $1 18h
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 12? BUY Yes 21¢ $1 18h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 12? BUY Yes 28¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 18h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 12? BUY Yes 33¢ $1 18h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 12? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 18h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 8¢ $5 20h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 13? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Up 4¢ $0 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $2 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 39h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-13.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 57 -9.3% -17.9% 37% 37% -20.2%
≤30d 355 -7.1% -15.9% 43% 41% -10.8%
≤90d 406 -3.9% -13.0% 42% 39% -10.1%
all 406 -3.9% -13.0% 42% 39% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.0% 39% -10.1%
10% -21.3% 35% -18.7%
15% -28.9% 30% -26.6%
20% -35.9% 25% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $80.30 · official $80.30 (match) · 1328 history records