Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T00:44:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
5C 0x5c2d…63c0 crypto 1578 markets active 0h ago coverage 28d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Total PnL −$32 (-0%) realized −$79 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR11%break-even
Win rate84%1329W / 249L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day119.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days+$9
14 days−$22
30 days−$79
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$79
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 344 +0.5% -9.1% 93% 8% -9.0%
≤30d 1578 -1.3% -10.7% 84% 11% -10.5%
≤90d 1578 -1.3% -10.7% 84% 11% -10.5%
all 1578 -1.3% -10.7% 84% 11% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover119.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.7% 11% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -19.3% 1% -19.1%
15% -27.1% 0% -26.9%
20% -34.2% 0% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
83% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.16 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.83 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

28d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$79
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses1329 / 249
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1578 / 1578
History coverage28d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day119.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1578 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $5 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 12m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 16m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $3 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $2 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $3 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Down 9¢ $0 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Down 10¢ $0 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records