Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:06:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5C
0x5c30…34f5
sports · 93 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,046 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,056 · open +$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$94
Realized−$1,056
Unrealized+$9
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses58 / 31
Whale WR (big bets)56%
Est. fees paid−$199
Open positions4
Markets (closed)89 / 93
History coverage16d
Avg bet$251
Trades / day20.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 89 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$60
7 days−$809
14 days−$1,549
30 days−$1,056
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5 Under 75¢ 88¢ $40 $47 +$7 (+18%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5 Under 74¢ 85¢ $15 $17 +$2 (+15%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 Under 70¢ 77¢ $14 $16 +$1 (+10%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5 Under 79¢ 71¢ $16 $14 −$2 (-10%)
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo Toronto Tempo 75¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+33%)
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo Connecticut Sun 65¢ 0¢ $1,017 $0 −$1,017 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 107.5 Under 68¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Thunder Thunder 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) Canadiens 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Spread: Thunder (-3.5) Thunder 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev Rafael Jodar 42¢ 0¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky Connecticut Sun 64¢ 0¢ $172 $0 −$172 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Knicks 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline Jun 14 $50 +$3 +6%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm Jun 13 $126 +$19 +15%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $44 +$2 +5%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $125 +$2 +1%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $61 +$25 +41%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $49 +$10 +20%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 12 $84 +$19 +22%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 12 $158 +$128 +81%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5 Jun 11 $19 +$9 +49%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $7 +$3 +48%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5 Jun 11 $44 +$9 +21%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $8 +$2 +31%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $85 −$23 -27%
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo Jun 11 $1,031 −$1,017 -99%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 13.5 Jun 10 $51 +$11 +21%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5 Jun 10 $43 −$5 -11%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 12.5 Jun 10 $73 +$17 +24%
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5) Jun 10 $40 +$12 +30%
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5) Jun 10 $236 +$17 +7%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries Jun 10 $497 +$69 +14%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5 Jun 10 $118 −$107 -91%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5 Jun 10 $82 −$58 -70%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $48 −$26 -55%
Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Sky Jun 10 $975 +$172 +18%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5 Jun 09 $63 +$28 +44%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5 Jun 09 $3 +$2 +52%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 09 $1,489 −$597 -40%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5 Jun 09 $55 +$16 +29%
PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparks Jun 08 $622 +$225 +36%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 12.5 Jun 07 $477 +$222 +46%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5 Jun 07 $513 −$428 -83%
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-4.5) Jun 07 $14 +$6 +43%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 06 $3 −$3 -99%
Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire Jun 06 $689 +$35 +5%
Dallas Wings vs. Los Angeles Sparks Jun 06 $341 −$96 -28%
Spread: Dallas Wings (-3.5) Jun 06 $8 +$3 +36%
Spread: Knicks (-3.5) Jun 06 $77 −$38 -49%
Spread: Knicks (-4.5) Jun 06 $73 −$30 -41%
Spread: Knicks (-1.5) Jun 06 $73 −$45 -62%
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) Jun 06 $68 −$40 -60%
Spread: Chicago Sky (-6.5) Jun 06 $459 +$69 +15%
Spread: Chicago Sky (-7.5) Jun 06 $248 +$7 +3%
Spread: Chicago Sky (-8.5) Jun 06 $248 +$8 +3%
Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky Jun 05 $174 −$172 -99%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx Jun 05 $533 $0 -0%
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5) Jun 05 $177 −$144 -81%
Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-5.5) Jun 04 $191 +$72 +38%
Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-6.5) Jun 04 $95 −$19 -20%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Seattle Storm Jun 04 $1,169 +$225 +19%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $37 +$19 +52%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$1,048
world 0% +$1
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 79¢ $16 9m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 72¢ $7 33m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 68¢ $7 34m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 86¢ $9 34m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 75¢ $16 44m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 74¢ $15 44m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 70¢ $15 51m
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline BUY Spurs 95¢ $50 1h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 76¢ $17 23h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Golden State Valkyries 89¢ $39 23h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Golden State Valkyries 86¢ $42 23h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 70¢ $15 23h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Golden State Valkyries 85¢ $45 23h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 SELL Over 60¢ $25 23h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 60¢ $13 24h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5 BUY Under 79¢ $16 24h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 81¢ $25 24h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 74¢ $16 24h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 62¢ $15 24h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 76¢ $16 24h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 82¢ $17 24h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 65¢ $14 24h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 67¢ $7 24h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 74¢ $8 24h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 73¢ $8 24h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5 BUY Under 90¢ $25 24h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 64¢ $20 24h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 58¢ $6 25h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 70¢ $7 25h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 63¢ $7 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-11.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 +8.9% -1.5% 77% 63% -20.4%
≤30d 89 -2.2% -11.5% 65% 52% -13.6%
≤90d 89 -2.2% -11.5% 65% 52% -13.6%
all 89 -2.2% -11.5% 65% 52% -13.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.5% 52% -13.6%
10% ← realistic here -20.0% 37% -21.9%
15% -27.7% 22% -29.4%
20% -34.8% 4% -36.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $93.83 · official $93.50 (match) · 403 history records