Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:54:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5C
0x5c33…abb8
crypto · 41 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
+$7 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses27 / 14
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)41 / 41
History coverage1d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day53.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 41 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7
7 days+$7
14 days+$7
30 days+$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +48%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$6 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -86%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Draw at halftime? Jun 12 $2 +$2 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score in First Half Jun 12 $1 −$1 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$1 -12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% +$5
sports 2% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Down 71¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET SELL Up 72¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET SELL Down 79¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET SELL Down 67¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET SELL Down 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET SELL Down 39¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-5.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 41 +4.4% -5.5% 66% 56% -5.0%
≤30d 41 +4.4% -5.5% 66% 56% -5.0%
≤90d 41 +4.4% -5.5% 66% 56% -5.0%
all 41 +4.4% -5.5% 66% 56% -5.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover53.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.5% 56% -5.0%
10% ← realistic here -14.5% 41% -14.1%
15% -22.8% 34% -22.4%
20% -30.4% 29% -30.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 96 history records