Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:13:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5C
0x5c44…795a
sports · 204 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$59 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$62 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$12
Realized−$62
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses62 / 140
Est. fees paid−$25
Open positions2
Markets (closed)202 / 204
History coverage36d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day10.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 202 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days+$24
14 days+$5
30 days−$58
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds 34¢ 58¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+72%)
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Miami Marlins 35¢ 34¢ $5 $4 −$0 (-4%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $5 −$3 -65%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $5 +$6 +124%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 13 $5 −$3 -67%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $5 +$6 +124%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $5 −$3 -74%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 13 $5 −$2 -34%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $5 +$6 +124%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 13 $5 −$3 -69%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $5 −$3 -70%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $5 −$3 -69%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $5 −$3 -69%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $5 +$6 +124%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $5 −$3 -70%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $5 −$3 -69%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $5 +$6 +144%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $5 +$6 +132%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 11 $5 −$3 -57%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $5 −$2 -35%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $5 +$3 +61%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $5 −$3 -55%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 10 $5 −$3 -69%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $5 +$6 +124%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $5 −$2 -33%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $5 +$3 +68%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 10 $5 −$3 -67%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 10 $5 −$3 -64%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 10 $5 −$2 -37%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 10 $5 +$6 +131%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 10 $5 −$3 -65%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 10 $5 +$6 +122%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 10 $5 +$6 +122%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 09 $5 −$1 -27%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 09 $5 −$3 -65%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 09 $5 −$3 -73%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 09 $5 −$3 -70%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 08 $5 +$5 +114%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 07 $5 +$5 +119%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Jun 07 $5 −$3 -71%
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 07 $5 −$4 -86%
Athletics vs. Houston Astros Jun 07 $5 +$6 +122%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Jun 07 $5 −$3 -68%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 07 $5 +$6 +123%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 07 $5 +$6 +126%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Jun 07 $5 +$6 +123%
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 06 $5 −$3 -68%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 06 $5 +$6 +123%
Athletics vs. Houston Astros Jun 06 $5 −$4 -79%
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 06 $5 −$4 -77%
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 06 $5 +$6 +124%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 06 $5 −$1 -30%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$59
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets SELL New York Mets 16¢ $2 14m
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians SELL Cleveland Guardians 85¢ $10 25m
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Cincinnati Reds 34¢ $5 1h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Cleveland Guardians 37¢ $5 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY New York Mets 44¢ $5 1h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Miami Marlins 35¢ $5 1h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Colorado Rockies 12¢ $2 17h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins SELL Minnesota Twins 11¢ $1 19h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 35¢ $5 19h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels SELL Tampa Bay Rays 24¢ $3 19h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 35¢ $5 20h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals SELL Washington Nationals 14¢ $1 20h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians SELL Detroit Tigers 12¢ $1 21h
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox SELL Texas Rangers 11¢ $1 21h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY Minnesota Twins 40¢ $5 21h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles SELL San Diego Padres 12¢ $1 22h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 44¢ $5 22h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Detroit Tigers 38¢ $5 22h
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Texas Rangers 34¢ $5 22h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY San Diego Padres 37¢ $5 22h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Washington Nationals 43¢ $5 22h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Miami Marlins 44¢ $5 23h
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles SELL Baltimore Orioles 98¢ $10 44h
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Baltimore Orioles 43¢ $5 46h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Pittsburgh Pirates 14¢ $1 46h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 44¢ $5 47h
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers SELL Minnesota Twins 12¢ $1 2d
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers BUY Minnesota Twins 37¢ $5 2d
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels SELL Houston Astros 85¢ $11 2d
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies SELL Colorado Rockies 97¢ $11 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-17.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 44 +12.0% +1.4% 41% 41% +1.3%
≤30d 197 -8.7% -17.4% 31% 31% -15.9%
≤90d 202 -8.6% -17.3% 31% 31% -15.7%
all 202 -8.6% -17.3% 31% 31% -15.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.3% 31% -15.7%
10% -25.2% 30% -23.7%
15% -32.5% 30% -31.1%
20% -39.1% 30% -37.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $12.21 · official $12.21 (match) · 407 history records