Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T05:58:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
5C 0x5c46…753d crypto 336 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Possible transfer/wash account⚠ Covers last 1d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (3176 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$138,355 (+1056%) realized +$138,334 · open +$21
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -20% what you keep after slip
Net edge-20%after slip
Net WR44%break-even
Win rate52%172W / 157L
Drawdown52%max
Avg bet$39per market
Trades / day3176.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$293now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$601
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (3176 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-6.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 329 +3.8% -6.1% 52% 44% -5.4%
≤30d 329 +3.8% -6.1% 52% 44% -5.4%
≤90d 329 +3.8% -6.1% 52% 44% -5.4%
all 329 +3.8% -6.1% 52% 44% -5.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover3176.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.1% 44% -5.4%
10% ← realistic here -15.0% 36% -14.5%
15% -23.3% 28% -22.7%
20% -30.8% 20% -30.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
15% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +4% · $-wt +4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +17% → late -10% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
8.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$17 vs −$15 · ×1.14 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.24 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$293
Realized+$138,334
Unrealized+$21
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses172 / 157
Open positions6
Markets (closed)329 / 336
History coverage1d ⚠
Avg bet$39
Trades / day3176.0
Drawdown52%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 6 History 329 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 77¢ 100¢ $187 $240 +$53 (+28%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 17¢ 22¢ $21 $28 +$7 (+34%)
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 92¢ 100¢ $19 $20 +$2 (+8%)
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 51¢ 34¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-33%)
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 45¢ 24¢ $3 $1 −$1 (-46%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $39 $1 −$39 (-98%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 4 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 15 $24 +$13 +56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$4 -63%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 15 $29 +$23 +78%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 15 $19 +$52 +271%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 15 $37 +$13 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 15 $63 +$26 +41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 15 $36 −$7 -19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 15 $26 −$26 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 15 $21 +$14 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$9 +113%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 15 $224 +$12 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 15 $38 +$4 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 15 $102 +$10 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 15 $26 −$3 -11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +178%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 15 $54 +$4 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 15 $14 −$13 -93%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 15 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 15 $30 −$30 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 15 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 15 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 15 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 15 $27 −$24 -91%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 15 $25 −$11 -44%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 15 $12 +$16 +131%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 15 $63 +$69 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 15 $122 −$33 -27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $34 −$34 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 15 $61 −$61 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 15 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $121 +$6 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $29 −$11 -38%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$6 +59%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 15 $59 +$2 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $31 −$15 -50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $161 −$6 -4%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $11 +$5 +45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 15 $42 −$37 -88%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 15 $11 +$4 +37%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$2 +57%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $2 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $0 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $0 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $1 3m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $293.37 · official $329.01 · 3500 history records