Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:52:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5C
0x5c55…ddfb
crypto · 939 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,010 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,771 · open −$32
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$50
Realized−$1,771
Unrealized−$32
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses395 / 563
Open positions16
Markets (closed)958 / 939
History coverage21d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day128.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 16 History 958 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13
7 days−$274
14 days−$485
30 days−$1,771
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $21 $14 −$7 (-32%)
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $11 $7 −$4 (-36%)
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $9 $5 −$3 (-39%)
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? Yes 9¢ 6¢ $6 $5 −$2 (-27%)
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $7 $4 −$3 (-42%)
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $7 $4 −$3 (-47%)
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $7 $4 −$4 (-50%)
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $4 $4 −$1 (-19%)
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June? Yes 3¢ 2¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-32%)
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in June? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-10%)
Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on June 15? Yes 28¢ 8¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-71%)
Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on June 15? Yes 5¢ 1¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-75%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-75%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? Yes 5¢ 1¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-85%)
Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on June 14? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-98%)
Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on June 14? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on June 11? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,200 in May? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 in May? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in May? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in May? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in May? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,100 in May? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in May 2026? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in May? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$4 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +26%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 69% −$417
weather 23% −$1,236
other 8% −$101
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $9 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-29.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 346 -23.1% -30.5% 43% 41% -23.5%
≤30d 958 -22.4% -29.8% 41% 39% -29.1%
≤90d 958 -22.4% -29.8% 41% 39% -29.1%
all 958 -22.4% -29.8% 41% 39% -29.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover128.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -29.8% 39% -29.1%
10% ← realistic here -36.5% 37% -35.8%
15% -42.6% 34% -42.0%
20% -48.3% 28% -47.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $49.90 · official $49.90 (match) · 3500 history records