Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:30:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5C
0x5c55…4164
crypto · 1746 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$101 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$101 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$101
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses1462 / 330
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1792 / 1746
History coverage11d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day190.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1792 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$87
7 days−$100
14 days−$101
30 days−$101
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Down 91¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+9%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Down 95¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 2AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 6? No 94¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 2AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 6? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $350 on April 29? Jun 14 $29 −$29 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 2AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 18m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 31m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 71¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET SELL Down 69¢ $1 47m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 49m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 52m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET SELL Down 74¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 76¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-12.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1131 -5.4% -14.4% 79% 0% -17.1%
≤30d 1792 -3.4% -12.6% 82% 0% -14.4%
≤90d 1792 -3.4% -12.6% 82% 0% -14.4%
all 1792 -3.4% -12.6% 82% 0% -14.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover190.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.6% 0% -14.4%
10% ← realistic here -21.0% 0% -22.6%
15% -28.6% 0% -30.1%
20% -35.6% 0% -36.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.16 · official $2.16 (match) · 3500 history records