Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:03:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5C
0x5c55…03d7
sports · 146 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
−$2,535 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,534 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$75
Realized−$2,534
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses65 / 66
Whale WR (big bets)43%
Est. fees paid−$215
Open positions15
Markets (closed)131 / 146
History coverage167d
Avg bet$112
Trades / day2.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 15 History 131 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$195
7 days−$887
14 days−$2,115
30 days−$2,531
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will PARIVISION make a roster change before July? Yes 81¢ 74¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-8%)
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? Yes 11¢ 20¢ $5 $9 +$4 (+77%)
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5 Yes 57¢ 78¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+38%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 60¢ 74¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+24%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 Under 66¢ 69¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+5%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 63¢ 64¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Türkiye? Yes 13¢ 13¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) Australia 68¢ 68¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Türkiye? Yes 15¢ 14¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-7%)
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Türkiye? Yes 13¢ 12¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-8%)
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 18.5 Yes 58¢ 51¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-12%)
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5 Yes 66¢ 50¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-24%)
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5 No 54¢ 29¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-46%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5 Over 47¢ 18¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-62%)
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 83¢ 82¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 17¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 Over 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner B8 48¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 2 Winner ex-MANA eSports 43¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs ex-MANA eSports 36¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner FURIA 37¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 84¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Knicks vs. Spurs: Team to Score First Jun 14 $73 $0 +0%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $5 +$6 +122%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $5 +$10 +187%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $5 +$1 +24%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Set Handicap: Krejcikova (-1.5) vs Linette (+1.5) Jun 13 $5 +$5 +89%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette Jun 13 $5 +$2 +35%
Set 2 Winner: Krejcikova vs Linette Jun 13 $5 +$2 +47%
Krejcikova vs. Linette: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 13 $5 +$2 +47%
Set 1 Winner: Krejcikova vs Linette Jun 13 $5 +$2 +44%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$6 +108%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $5 +$6 +108%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $5 +$2 +47%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 13 $5 +$17 +323%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $41 −$40 -98%
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs Jun 12 $36 −$35 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $51 +$24 +47%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $51 −$50 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $21 −$20 -97%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $61 −$60 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $31 −$30 -98%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $282 −$282 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $410 −$410 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 06 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 06 $17 +$14 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 06 $16 +$11 +66%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 06 $202 +$86 +42%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $130 +$72 +56%
Counter-Strike: Prestige vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - United21 Group C Jun 06 $489 −$80 -16%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $102 −$7 -7%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $204 −$16 -8%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 06 $102 −$6 -6%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $102 −$5 -5%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 06 $384 +$149 +39%
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 06 $809 −$494 -61%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $1,623 −$1,623 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 06 $512 +$763 +149%
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs RED Canids Academy (BO3) - Gamers Jun 05 $239 +$340 +142%
Counter-Strike: RoundsGG vs ENRAGE (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playof Jun 05 $72 −$72 -100%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $224 −$224 -100%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $1,969 −$1,274 -65%
Tyler: Andre Ilagan vs Yuta Shimizu Jun 05 $887 +$195 +22%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 05 $100 +$155 +155%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 05 $256 +$369 +144%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 94% −$2,490
crypto 3% +$101
other 1% −$65
culture 1% −$81
politics 0% $0
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) BUY Australia 68¢ $5 36m
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Türkiye? BUY Yes 13¢ $5 37m
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Türkiye? BUY Yes 13¢ $5 37m
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Türkiye? BUY Yes 15¢ $5 37m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5 BUY Over 47¢ $5 57m
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5 BUY No 54¢ $5 58m
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 18.5 BUY Yes 58¢ $5 59m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 66¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? BUY Yes 11¢ $5 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 60¢ $5 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs: Team to Score First SELL Spurs 100¢ $73 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs: Team to Score First BUY Spurs 98¢ $73 1h
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5 BUY Yes 66¢ $5 1h
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5 BUY Yes 57¢ $5 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 63¢ $5 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 BUY Over 74¢ $5 6h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 80¢ $5 6h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 61¢ $5 6h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 20¢ $5 6h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 84¢ $10 6h
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland? BUY Yes 8¢ $5 6h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 34¢ $5 7h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 44¢ $5 7h
Set 2 Winner: Krejcikova vs Linette BUY Krejcikova 67¢ $5 16h
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm ele BUY Yes 83¢ $1 18h
Will PARIVISION make a roster change before July? BUY Yes 81¢ $10 19h
Set 1 Winner: Krejcikova vs Linette BUY Krejcikova 68¢ $5 20h
Set Handicap: Krejcikova (-1.5) vs Linette (+1.5) BUY Krejcikova 52¢ $5 20h
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette BUY Barbora Krejcikova 73¢ $5 20h
Krejcikova vs. Linette: Match O/U 23.5 BUY Under 67¢ $5 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-19.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 -9.3% -18.0% 48% 45% -78.9%
≤30d 130 -10.6% -19.1% 50% 45% -23.6%
≤90d 131 -11.3% -19.7% 50% 44% -23.6%
all 131 -11.3% -19.7% 50% 44% -23.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.7% 44% -23.6%
10% -27.4% 40% -30.9%
15% -34.4% 34% -37.6%
20% -40.8% 22% -43.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $74.56 · official $74.56 (match) · 457 history records