Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:13:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5C
0x5c60…df47
crypto · 96 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,321 -342%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,321 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$5
Realized−$3,321
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)16%
Wins / losses71 / 372
Open positions0
Markets (closed)443 / 96
History coverage8d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day48.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 443 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,252
7 days−$3,307
14 days−$3,321
30 days−$3,321
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 47¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+113%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 63¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+59%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 47¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+113%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 59¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+69%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 47¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+112%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 53¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+89%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 55¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+82%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Up 51¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+94%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 51¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+96%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Up 30¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+233%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 54¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 48¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 49¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 19¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 41¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Down 50¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 68¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 41¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 54¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 41¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 49¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 49¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 49¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 51¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +163%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$1 -282%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +204%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$1 -305%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +243%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -106%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$9 -422%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -21%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$7 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$8 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $24 −$28 -119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$3 -118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$14 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$10 -127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$8 -151%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$4 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$2 -117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$10 -112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$64
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-56.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 426 -54.2% -58.6% 15% 14% -79.2%
≤30d 443 -52.4% -56.9% 16% 16% -77.2%
≤90d 443 -52.4% -56.9% 16% 16% -77.2%
all 443 -52.4% -56.9% 16% 16% -77.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover48.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -56.9% 16% -77.2%
10% ← realistic here -61.0% 14% -79.4%
15% -64.8% 14% -81.4%
20% -68.3% 13% -83.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.63 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records