Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:39:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5C
0x5c6c…998f
sports · 652 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$15,714 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$15,774 · open +$35
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$14,847
Realized−$15,774
Unrealized+$35
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses311 / 344
Whale WR (big bets)65%
Est. fees paid−$1,171
Open positions77
Markets (closed)655 / 652
History coverage24d
Avg bet$282
Trades / day121.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit58%
Chart Positions 77 History 655 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,334
7 days+$5,465
14 days−$11,848
30 days−$15,774
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 21¢ 20¢ $2,569 $2,385 −$185 (-7%)
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes 70¢ 69¢ $1,230 $1,213 −$16 (-1%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? Yes 95¢ 97¢ $1,007 $1,021 +$14 (+1%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? Yes 98¢ 99¢ $977 $994 +$18 (+2%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 67¢ 68¢ $927 $944 +$18 (+2%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 87¢ 84¢ $667 $647 −$20 (-3%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 54¢ $609 $609 −$0 (-0%)
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30? Yes 76¢ 94¢ $428 $527 +$100 (+23%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? Yes 95¢ 99¢ $474 $491 +$17 (+4%)
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30? No 87¢ 87¢ $447 $446 −$1 (-0%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 48¢ 46¢ $445 $431 −$14 (-3%)
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Draw at halftime? Yes 45¢ 46¢ $416 $421 +$5 (+1%)
Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Paraguay? No 91¢ 92¢ $334 $338 +$4 (+1%)
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026? No 54¢ 63¢ $270 $315 +$45 (+17%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30? No 78¢ 97¢ $235 $291 +$56 (+24%)
Pacifica FDV above $300M one day after launch? No 73¢ 80¢ $257 $279 +$22 (+9%)
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 15¢ 16¢ $208 $211 +$4 (+2%)
Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Paraguay? No 98¢ 98¢ $210 $209 −$1 (-1%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 97¢ 99¢ $193 $197 +$4 (+2%)
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June? No 95¢ 99¢ $186 $195 +$9 (+5%)
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 69¢ 96¢ $139 $192 +$53 (+38%)
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? No 91¢ 76¢ $200 $168 −$32 (-16%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? No 55¢ 68¢ $108 $132 +$24 (+23%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? No 99¢ 100¢ $126 $128 +$1 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 91¢ 90¢ $124 $124 −$1 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Jun 12 $1 +$5 +373%
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-10? Jun 12 $1,699 −$1,699 -100%
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Sabres vs. Canadiens Jun 12 $185 −$187 -101%
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-10? Jun 12 $3 +$3 +105%
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A Jun 12 $235 −$235 -100%
Will Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-05-16? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw? Jun 12 $74 −$74 -100%
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-10? Jun 12 $67 −$65 -97%
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $76 −$76 -100%
Avalanche vs. Wild Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Jun 12 $139 −$139 -100%
Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs Jun 12 $105 −$105 -100%
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Jun 12 $140 −$104 -74%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3 +$45 +1438%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group S Jun 12 $117 −$117 -100%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09? Jun 12 $85 −$85 -100%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoff Jun 12 $4 +$121 +3334%
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-10? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12? Jun 12 $80 −$73 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14? Jun 12 $0 +$60 +39166%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 12 $554 −$554 -100%
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MIBR (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group B Jun 12 $39 −$40 -102%
Dota 2: Aurora vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A Jun 12 $0 +$38 +36331%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 12 $22 +$77 +355%
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs Fisher College (BO3) - PGL Astana Jun 12 $7 −$4 -57%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $6 +$10 +159%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $12 +$20 +170%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B Jun 12 $143 −$143 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11? Jun 12 $84 −$73 -87%
Ethereum Up or Down on May 11? Jun 12 $141 −$139 -98%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09? Jun 12 $137 −$137 -100%
BNB Up or Down on May 10? Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 12 $18 −$37 -206%
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B Jun 12 $84 −$84 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down on May 12? Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A Jun 12 $51 −$47 -93%
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-16? Jun 12 $331 −$331 -100%
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Oh My God vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana Jun 12 $9 +$24 +266%
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-10? Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 12 $141 −$141 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down on May 14? Jun 12 $26 −$25 -96%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Jun 12 $809 −$842 -104%
Ethereum Up or Down on May 15? Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs Jun 12 $34 +$48 +142%
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 54% −$11,631
other 21% +$447
finance 15% +$2,700
crypto 4% −$70
tech 3% +$288
world 2% −$612
economics 1% −$10
politics 0% −$107
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Team Falcons 67¢ $321 18m
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 10¢ $11 31m
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 95¢ $21 32m
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 10¢ $11 33m
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 16¢ $6 33m
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 12¢ $2 33m
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 12¢ $3 33m
Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Paraguay? BUY No 98¢ $98 34m
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY Yes 8¢ $8 37m
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY Yes 8¢ $8 37m
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 12¢ $10 38m
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 12¢ $6 38m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 67¢ $985 40m
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 5¢ $5 42m
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 11¢ $11 44m
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 51m
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 16¢ $5 58m
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 15¢ $3 1h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 15¢ $3 1h
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 12¢ $41 1h
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 12¢ $3 1h
Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Paraguay? BUY No 91¢ $8 1h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 15¢ $12 1h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 15¢ $14 1h
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 12¢ $61 1h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 16¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Paraguay? BUY No 98¢ $112 1h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 15¢ $68 1h
Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Paraguay? BUY No 91¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Paraguay? BUY No 90¢ $19 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)+10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 261 +37.2% +24.1% 49% 43% -2.4%
≤30d 655 +21.7% +10.1% 47% 40% -18.6%
≤90d 655 +21.7% +10.1% 47% 40% -18.6%
all 655 +21.7% +10.1% 47% 40% -18.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover121.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +10.1% 40% -18.6%
10% ← realistic here -0.5% 32% -26.4%
15% -10.1% 26% -33.5%
20% -18.9% 21% -40.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14,846.89 · official $14,847.07 (match) · 3500 history records