Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:41:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5C
0x5c79…ea52
crypto · 1427 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$119 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$99 · open −$20
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$156
Realized−$99
Unrealized−$20
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses1069 / 330
Est. fees paid−$15
Open positions28
Markets (closed)1399 / 1427
History coverage20d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day108.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit77%
Chart Positions 28 History 1399 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days−$19
14 days−$46
30 days−$99
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Legacy 70¢ 100¢ $8 $11 +$3 (+43%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? Yes 14¢ 20¢ $8 $11 +$3 (+39%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Yes 17¢ 20¢ $8 $9 +$1 (+18%)
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Taylah Preston Taylah Preston 87¢ 100¢ $8 $9 +$1 (+14%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 88¢ 90¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+3%)
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Cloud9 53¢ 55¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+3%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 Under 90¢ 90¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) Cincinnati Reds 54¢ 54¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians 45¢ 44¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Spirit 87¢ 84¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-3%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins St. Louis Cardinals 52¢ 74¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+41%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Switzerland 57¢ 80¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+39%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Over 51¢ 60¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+17%)
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Scotland 36¢ 38¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+7%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 62¢ 64¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 41¢ 42¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Morocco 70¢ 69¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 65¢ 64¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score No 53¢ 52¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 Over 50¢ 50¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? No 44¢ 42¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 15.5 Yes 60¢ 55¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-9%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Katerina Siniakova vs Yue Yuan Yue Yuan 31¢ 12¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-60%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 49¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-99%)
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Team Heretics Academy 56¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Jun 13 $8 −$7 -86%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $5 +$1 +29%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) Jun 13 $5 +$5 +93%
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan Jun 13 $4 +$1 +13%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $5 $0 -8%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic Jun 13 $8 +$5 +60%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $5 −$1 -11%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $8 +$2 +27%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
FF Jaro vs. HJK Helsinki: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $8 +$5 +65%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron Jun 13 $8 −$8 -98%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton Jun 13 $8 +$3 +35%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $5 +$5 +97%
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Jun 13 $5 +$4 +70%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Katie Volynets Jun 13 $8 +$1 +10%
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova Jun 13 $8 +$5 +67%
FC Inter Turku vs. AC Oulu: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kia Tigers Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $15 −$11 -70%
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 13 $8 +$2 +24%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $5 +$2 +40%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $5 +$2 +34%
Ilkley: Oliver Tarvet vs Filippo Romano Jun 13 $5 +$4 +73%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $8 +$10 +129%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette Jun 13 $5 +$2 +36%
ITF Guimaraes: Katarina Kuzmova vs Savannah Broadus Jun 13 $0 $0 +17%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm Jun 13 $5 +$1 +24%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $8 −$8 -99%
ITF Hurghada: Martyna Kubka vs Gabriela Andrea Knutson Jun 13 $8 +$2 +26%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 13 $8 −$8 -98%
ITF Tokyo: Mayuka Aikawa vs Ikumi Yamazaki Jun 13 $5 +$1 +17%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 13 $8 +$10 +119%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $5 +$3 +62%
Derry City FC vs. Bohemians Dublin FC: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 68% +$102
other 26% −$225
sports 7% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 50¢ $5 0m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs SELL G2 Esports 12¢ $1 8m
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Cleveland Guardians 45¢ $8 10m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Taylah Preston BUY Taylah Preston 87¢ $8 34m
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa BUY Katarzyna Kawa 92¢ $5 39m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 87¢ $8 40m
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) BUY Morocco 70¢ $5 41m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 90¢ $8 41m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $5 41m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 44¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 70¢ $8 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 46¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? BUY Yes 14¢ $8 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 17¢ $8 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL BetBoom Team 35¢ $5 1h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic BUY Emma Raducanu 62¢ $8 2h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs BUY Cloud9 53¢ $8 3h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 83¢ $8 3h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY St. Louis Cardinals 52¢ $5 3h
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5) BUY G2 Esports 59¢ $5 3h
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) BUY Cincinnati Reds 54¢ $8 3h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw BUY Daniel Galan 37¢ $5 3h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron BUY Daniel Evans 32¢ $8 3h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 88¢ $8 3h
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner BUY UCAM Esports Club 27¢ $8 3h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 49¢ $8 4h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Martin Landaluce 58¢ $5 4h
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef BUY Mary Stoiana 73¢ $5 4h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Katie Volynets BUY Katie Volynets 91¢ $8 5h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Team Heretics Academy 56¢ $8 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 251 -5.8% -14.8% 49% 43% -10.9%
≤30d 1399 -1.0% -10.4% 76% 29% -10.0%
≤90d 1399 -1.0% -10.4% 76% 29% -10.0%
all 1399 -1.0% -10.4% 76% 29% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover108.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.4% 29% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -19.0% 20% -18.6%
15% -26.8% 15% -26.5%
20% -34.0% 11% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $155.82 · official $155.82 (match) · 3500 history records