Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:30:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5C
0x5c7a…1a97
crypto · 950 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,857 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,746 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Wins small, loses big
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$631
Realized−$1,746
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses810 / 144
Whale WR (big bets)2%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)954 / 950
Avg bet$417
Trades / day303.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 3 History 954 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,211
7 days−$1,635
14 days−$1,746
30 days−$1,746
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 98¢ 98¢ $433 $432 −$1 (-0%)
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 66¢ 66¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 72¢ 72¢ $99 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 20, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 95¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+5%)
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? Yes 31¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+222%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 75¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+33%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 76¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+32%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 81¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+23%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 85¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+18%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 96¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+4%)
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 1 Arsenal FC? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 2 Arsenal FC? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 20, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -512%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? Jun 12 $0 +$22 +30157%
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 1 Arsenal FC? Jun 12 $17 −$33 -200%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Jun 12 $25 −$50 -200%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$2 -1150%
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 2 Arsenal FC? Jun 12 $3 −$6 -200%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $18,894 −$70 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +12%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $14,191 +$399 +3%
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $15,247 −$149 -1%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $11,829 −$42 -0%
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $15,451 −$125 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 12 $1,275 −$5 -0%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $16,718 −$69 -0%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $19,308 −$81 -0%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $20,061 −$71 -0%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet Jun 12 $9,512 −$44 -0%
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $24,172 −$152 -1%
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $16,203 −$135 -1%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $6,351 −$24 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +18%
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $2,341 −$8 -0%
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 12 $920 −$3 -0%
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $2,306 −$8 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $2,130 −$27 -1%
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 12 $8,256 −$29 -0%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +8%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 12 $1,512 −$5 -0%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$3 -28%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 11 $1,532 −$7 -0%
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $17,625 −$95 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$2 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $11 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 67% −$1,039
politics 20% −$297
crypto 7% −$248
economics 5% −$87
culture 0% −$3
world 0% −$3
sports 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $433 0m
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $409 7m
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $410 12m
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $406 20m
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $408 22m
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 90¢ $400 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 40m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $10 40m
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 90¢ $404 40m
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $425 55m
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $427 59m
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 91¢ $434 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 1h
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 92¢ $438 1h
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $429 1h
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $431 1h
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $442 1h
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $444 1h
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $411 2h
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $412 2h
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $411 2h
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $413 2h
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $445 2h
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $447 2h
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $402 2h
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $403 2h
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet SELL Yes 99¢ $422 3h
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet BUY Yes 99¢ $424 3h
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $410 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-7.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 690 +4.2% -5.7% 83% 5% -9.9%
≤30d 954 +2.5% -7.3% 85% 4% -9.9%
≤90d 954 +2.5% -7.3% 85% 4% -9.9%
all 954 +2.5% -7.3% 85% 4% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover303.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.3% 4% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -16.1% 1% -18.5%
15% -24.2% 1% -26.4%
20% -31.7% 1% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $631.18 · official $629.95 (match) · 3500 history records