Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:40:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5C
0x5c8f…73c6
crypto · 57 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
−$57 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$57 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$57
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses31 / 26
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)57 / 57
History coverage175d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day0.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 0 History 57 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days+$5
14 days+$5
30 days+$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 37¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $66 −$46 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$12 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$12 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$8 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$8 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$33 +158%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -97%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $132 −$130 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $102 +$51 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$13 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$13 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$12 +228%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$38 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$22 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$27 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $101 +$15 +15%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 +$20 +197%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bengals vs. Dolphins Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
49ers vs. Colts Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $104 −$104 -100%
Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $61 +$26 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$14 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 11 $26 +$21 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $26 +$12 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $26 +$27 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 11 $26 +$38 +145%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 79% +$110
other 15% −$95
politics 4% −$62
sports 2% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $28 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $15 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $63 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $51 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $15 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $51 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $15 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $15 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 44¢ $112 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $21 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $102 10h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 19¢ $20 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $21 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $21 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $21 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $21 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-7.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 56 +4.3% -5.6% 55% 55% -9.2%
≤30d 56 +4.3% -5.6% 55% 55% -9.2%
≤90d 56 +4.3% -5.6% 55% 55% -9.2%
all 57 +2.5% -7.2% 54% 54% -13.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.2% 54% -13.2%
10% -16.1% 53% -21.5%
15% -24.2% 51% -29.1%
20% -31.7% 40% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 135 history records