Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:48:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5C
0x5ca0…20e7
crypto · 1232 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$688 -19%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$688 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$688
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses479 / 951
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1430 / 1232
History coverage41d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day76.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 0 History 1430 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$718
7 days−$723
14 days−$700
30 days−$689
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$10 -148%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$1 -1408%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$2 -1320%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$11 -229%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$1 -733%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$2 -182%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$2 -453%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$1 -1914%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -259%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -296%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -125%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$8 -160%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$1 -791%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$2 -740%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -601%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$1 -289%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$4 -1264%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$2 -198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$3 -2499%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$1 -513%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$3 -1385%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$5 -1602%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$5 -2905%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$4 -196%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$2 -180%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$2 -12654%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$1 -483%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$1 -355%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -947%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $0 +$1 +803%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$7 -2460%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$3 -1253%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$4 -1890%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$1 -1042%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$4 -184%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$9 -192%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$2 -676%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$9 -187%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -413%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 92% +$74
other 8% −$59
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Up 16¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Down 20¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET SELL Down 19¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Up 12¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Up 7¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET SELL Down 24¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET SELL Up 13¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET SELL Down 8¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Up 28¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Up 16¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Up 22¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-22.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 397 -50.8% -55.5% 13% 11% -68.4%
≤30d 905 -21.5% -29.0% 21% 19% -31.1%
≤90d 1430 -13.9% -22.1% 33% 28% -16.9%
all 1430 -13.9% -22.1% 33% 28% -16.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover76.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.1% 28% -16.9%
10% ← realistic here -29.5% 22% -24.9%
15% -36.3% 17% -32.1%
20% -42.6% 13% -38.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records