Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:49:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5C
0x5ca6…b3ba
other · 19 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$12 -27%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$13 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$19
Realized−$13
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)18%
Wins / losses2 / 9
Open positions8
Markets (closed)11 / 19
History coverage2d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day10.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit16%
Chart Positions 8 History 11 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13
7 days−$13
14 days−$13
30 days−$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? Yes 14¢ 100¢ $1 $7 +$6 (+614%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 50¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Curaçao? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Ecuador? Yes 9¢ 9¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 1 Ecuador? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Japan? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Curaçao? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 0 Japan? Yes 12¢ 12¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Japan? Yes 13¢ 12¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-8%)
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Morocco? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Morocco? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $1 +$6 +596%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $6 +$7 +107%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 93% −$13
crypto 7% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Ecuador? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 1 Ecuador? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Japan? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 0 Japan? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Japan? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Curaçao? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Curaçao? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Morocco? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 31h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 31h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 31h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? BUY Yes 13¢ $3 31h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 17¢ $2 31h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? BUY Yes 13¢ $2 31h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $10 31h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $13 35h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 36h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 10¢ $2 39h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 11¢ $2 39h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 15¢ $2 39h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $6 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-24.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 -16.2% -24.2% 18% 18% -45.0%
≤30d 11 -16.2% -24.2% 18% 18% -45.0%
≤90d 11 -16.2% -24.2% 18% 18% -45.0%
all 11 -16.2% -24.2% 18% 18% -45.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -24.2% 18% -45.0%
10% -31.4% 18% -50.3%
15% -38.0% 18% -55.1%
20% -44.1% 18% -59.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $18.93 · official $18.93 (match) · 27 history records