trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 5 | +2.2% | -7.5% | 80% | 0% | -7.6% |
| all | 5 | +2.2% | -7.5% | 80% | 0% | -7.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.5% | 0% | -7.6% |
| 10% | -16.4% | 0% | -16.5% |
| 15% | -24.5% | 0% | -24.5% |
| 20% | -31.9% | 0% | -31.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 20¢ | 18¢ | $307 | $277 | −$30 (-10%) |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | 79¢ | 80¢ | $116 | $117 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | May 13 | $869 | +$50 | +6% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | May 07 | $1,282 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 16 | $697 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nom | Apr 13 | $478 | +$1 | +0% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Apr 08 | $606 | +$31 | +5% |