trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 33% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 30% | 0% | -9.3% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 30% | 0% | -9.3% |
| all | 26 | -10.3% | -18.9% | 54% | 4% | -12.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -18.9% | 4% | -12.2% |
| 10% | -26.6% | 0% | -20.6% |
| 15% | -33.7% | 0% | -28.2% |
| 20% | -40.2% | 0% | -35.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 19 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 19 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 19 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 26 | $10 | +$1 | +7% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | May 25 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 25 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | May 24 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | May 23 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 23 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | May 23 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Lyon win the UEFA Europa League? | Apr 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Houston win the 2025 NCAA Tournament? | Apr 10 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Ethereum all time high by June 30? | Apr 06 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Scott Stringer win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York C | Apr 06 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Marco Rubio be out as Secretary of State in Trump's first 100 day | Apr 04 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Apr 04 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by March 31? | Apr 03 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Trump deport 1,250,000-1,500,000 people? | Apr 03 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.37-1.41ºC in March 2025? | Apr 02 | $15 | −$1 | -7% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78000 and $80000 on Mar 28? | Mar 29 | $19 | $0 | +3% |
| Canada election called by Sunday? | Mar 24 | $17 | +$1 | +8% |
| Will Elon tweet 650-674 times March 14-21? | Mar 22 | $17 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Elon tweet 625-649 times March 7-14? | Mar 15 | $17 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference? | Mar 12 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Liverpool wins the Premier League? | Mar 11 | $2 | $0 | +12% |
| Will Trump sign Bitcoin reserve executive order Friday? | Mar 11 | $16 | $0 | +2% |